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Champions League Wednesday: How Many Big Favorites Will Win?

Nov 28, 2018 10:56 PM EST
  • Champions League odds have shifted dramatically in a number of Wednesday matches including PSG-Liverpool (3 p.m. ET) and Tottenham-Inter Milan (3 p.m. ET on TNT).
  • There are a number of big favorites on the board but public bettors are taking their chances on the underdogs, creating value elsewhere.

Tuesday’s action brought upsets from Viktoria Plzen (+410) at CSKA Moscow, and Shakhtar Donetsk (+360) at Hoffenheim, while Lyon held Manchester City to a 2-2 draw which paid out +400.

The group stage is set up perfectly to allow for surprises while also ensuring the best teams to progress over the course of six matches.

Teams that have now advanced to the knockout stages are: Bayern Munich, Ajax, Manchester City, Real Madrid, Roma, Juventus and Manchester United.

Looking ahead to Wednesday, I’ve analyzed the betting market for each matchup and picked out three value plays across five different games.

2018-19 Champions League Season Record: 7-10-1 (-1.93 units)


Monaco at Atletico Madrid (12:55 p.m. ET on TNT)
Moneylines: Monaco +1700, Atletico -575, Draw +630
Total: 3 (u-130)

Atletico Madrid haven’t lost in more than a month in all competitions, and are tied atop Group A with Dortmund.

Meanwhile, Monaco have struggled this season and haven’t been any better under new manager Thierry Henry. They’ve already been eliminated from the Champions League with two matches left, and find themselves as huge +1700 underdogs to win in Madrid.

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AP. Pictured: Inter Milan celebrating a goal vs. Tottenham in their previous matchup

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