Copa America Preview: Bettors Backing Brazil and Peru on Tuesday

Copa America Preview: Bettors Backing Brazil and Peru on Tuesday article feature image
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Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Brazil’s Filipe Luis

  • The second round of Group A matches at the 2019 Copa America are set for Tuesday between Peru-Bolivia (5:30 p.m. ET) and Brazil-Venezuela (8:30 p.m. ET).
  • Bettors have been honing in on both Brazil and Peru as big favorites and the market has taken plenty of notice.

Brazil got off to a strong start in the 2019 Copa America by defeating Bolivia, 3-0, on home soil and taking firm control of Group A.

Meanwhile, Peru tied Venezuela, 0-0, which means both will likely need a victory against Bolivia to have a chance of advancing.

In Tuesday’s matches between Brazil-Venezuela and Peru-Bolivia, favorites and overs have been attracting all the action so far.

Peru vs. Bolivia (5:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+)

  • Peru Odds: -250
  • Bolivia Odds: +825
  • Draw: +365
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (u-120)
  • Significant Line Move: Peru -170 to -250

Sharp and public bettors have been all over Peru from the get-go, causing sportsbooks to increase the moneyline by eighty cents on average. The goal-line (also known as spread or Asian handicap) has also shifted up from Peru -1 to Peru -1.25 and could potentially reach -1.5.

This is an important match for Peru as there’s pressure on them to win following a scoreless draw with Venezuela and Brazil looming in the final group match. A draw would be disappointing but still wouldn’t be a total disaster.

If Brazil beat Venezuela as they’re expected to, the host nation would then wrap up first place in Group A and could potentially rest many starters in the last group match against Peru. Of course Brazil’s “B” team would still be very dangerous, but at least the odds would shorten.

Tuesday’s match is the focus though, and Peru have attracted more than 70% of bets and money on both the moneyline and spread.

Now that Bolivia are into the +800 moneyline range and +1.25 goal line, some bettors may be willing to take a chance on them. Even so, it would take a lot of late money to offset Peru action so most sportsbooks will be Bolivia fans tonight.

In the totals market, 61% of bets and 84% of the money have caused a shift from 2.25 up to 2.5.

Brazil vs. Venezuela (8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+)

  • Brazil Odds: -750
  • Venezuela Odds: +2400
  • Draw: +725
  • Over/Under: 3 (o-120)
  • Significant Line Move: Brazil -575 to -750

Just like the first game of the tournament, bettors have been hammering Brazil to win and cover. Their moneyline has been upped from -575 to -750 while the goal line has increased from -2 to -2.25.

Brazil will advance to the next round with a victory and can clinch first place in Group A if Peru-Bolivia draw.

Books just haven’t been able to get anyone to bite on Venezuela and I wouldn’t touch them until they reached at least +3 on the spread. If Brazil happen to drop back down to -2, that’s the only real bet I’d consider here.

Most of the totals market opened at 3 goals and has been forced to increase the juice toward the over behind 65% of bets and money.

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