Everton vs. West Ham United Friday Premier League Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions (Jan. 1)
Simon Stacpoole/Offside/Offside via Getty Images. Pictured: Everton star Dominic Calvert-Lewin.
- Everton hosts West Ham United in a key Premier League match Friday at Goodison Park.
- Can the Toffees, who are unbeaten in 25 of their last 28 meetings with the Hammers, continue their dominance in this spot?
- Jeremy Pond thinks so and tells us why:
Everton vs. West Ham Odds
|Everton Odds||+100 [BET NOW]|
|West Ham Odds||+280 [BET NOW]|
|Draw||+255 [BET NOW]|
|Over/Under||2.5 (-109/-114) [BET NOW]|
|Time||12:30 p.m. ET|
|TV||NBCSN | fuboTV|
Things could get pretty intense in Premier League action on New Year’s Day when Everton hosts West Ham United at Goodison Park.
This is an all-important showdown between clubs sitting top 10 on the table in England’s top flight. The Toffees, winners of four consecutive matches, are in fourth place on 29 points. They’re actually tied with Leicester City, but the Foxes hold the tiebreaker edge.
On the other side, the Hammers have drawn their last two games and find themselves in 10th place with 23 points.
Let’s take a look at what could be on deck with these teams in this game.
Manager Carlo Ancelotti could not be happier with his side’s recent run of performances, which have generated 12 out of 12 possible points and put them within shouting distance of league-leading Liverpool.
The Toffees, who are just four points behind the defending champions, are coming off a 1-0 shutout victory over winless Sheffield United last time out. Prior to that, Everton snared wins against Chelsea, Leicester City and Arsenal.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin continues to lead the line for the Toffees, racking up an impressive 11 goals this season. The standout is in the thick of the Golden Boot hunt as well, finding himself just two goals behind Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah in the race.
Everton’s overall numbers are not what I expect from a club sitting in the top four on the table. The stats are good, but not great.
The Toffees sit on a modest 20.7 expected goals versus a solid 19.0 expected goals against, resulting a +1.7 xGDiff and +0.12 xGDiff/90 minutes. For me, these are advanced metrics you’d expect to see from a team in seventh to 10th place; not from a team four points from first place in the 20-team league.
The Hammers continue to linger at the bottom part of the top half of the table. However, they’re coming off a 2-2 stalemate with Brighton & Hove Albion and scoreless tie against Southampton in its most recent contest.
West Ham’s last victory came Dec. 11 via a 2-1 triumph over Leeds United, so manager David Moyes knows his club must get back to that kind of effort if it’s going to make a Europa League run entering the second half of the campaign.
As for its overall data and numbers, West Ham is exactly where I thought it would be in the rankings.
The Hammers have a stellar 20.3 xGs and league-worst 21.4 expected goals against, resulting in a subpar -1.1 xGDiff and -0.06 for xGDiff/90 minutes.
Bottom line, these numbers are flat and uninspiring. They’re good enough to keep West Ham up and nowhere near the relegation zone, but nothing more.
Betting Analysis & Picks
This is one of this matches where you simply do not need to overthink things. Everton is the better side in top form, plus it’s more rested after Monday’s tilt was postponed due to Manchester City dealing with COVID-19 issues.
That said, I am backing the Toffees on the moneyline at a fair price to secure all three points on home soil. Add in the fact Everton is unbeaten in 25 of its last 28 matches against West Ham across all competitions, and I like my chances in this spot.
I will also sprinkle a little on the total staying under the alternative number of 2.75 goals as well. There have been less than three goals in five of the Toffees’ last six league games, which gives me confidence in this play.
Picks: Everton ML (+100) | Total Under 2.75 Goals (-148)