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Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest Odds, Pick, Predictions | Premier League Match Preview

Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest Odds, Pick, Predictions | Premier League Match Preview article feature image
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James Gill/Getty. Pictured: Bruno Fernandes.

  • Manchester United are favored to beat Nottingham Forest in the Premier League.
  • Is there value on betting the Red Devils to secure a result?
  • See why Ian Quillen believes so.

Manchester United vs. Nottingham Forest Odds

Tuesday, Dec. 27
3 p.m. ET
USA Network
Manchester United Odds -325
Nottingham Forest Odds +850
Draw +410
Over/Under 2.5 (-150 / +220)
Both Teams to Score (Yes/No) (+105 / -135)
Odds via Caesars. Get the latest soccer odds here.

Manchester United host Nottingham Forest on Tuesday in the Premier League on the back of League Cup success last week.

Both teams made relatively easy work of foes in the division beneath them. United dismissed Burnley 2-0 at home while Nottingham Forest cruised to a 4-1 win against Blackburn Rovers.

These teams have not met on any level since both were in the Premier League during the 1998-1999 campaign.

However, this was once one of the major fixtures on the English league calendar. As recently as the 1994-95 season, both teams finished top three in the table.

Manchester United Ready to Push Forward in League

In their first action since the World Cup break, the Red Devils gave a thoroughly professional account of themselves.

Christian Eriksen scored in the 27th minute and Marcus Rashford added the second a half-hour later. From there, Man United was content to let Burnley take the game to them, and they survived through full-time without too much threat.

The result was a sixth clean sheet in the last seven home matches in all competitions. Half of those were kept in league play, and two in the UEFA Europa League.

Of United’s 20 goals conceded, only four have come at home. The xG totals suggest the divide is a little more skewed than it should be: the United have allowed 6.6 xG at home and 10.7 xG away.

There are some questions of the back line on Tuesday, however.

Argentine Lisandro Martinez could still be out following World Cup celebrations in his home country. Fellow center back Harry McGuire missed Wednesday’s League Cup match due to illness. Additionally, right back Diogo Dalot has been working back from a hamstring issue picked up playing for Portugal in Qatar.

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Nottingham Forest Need to Maintain Rare Form

If only every away game for Forest were a League Cup game.

Last week’s 4-1 win over Blackburn made it seven scored in two away fixtures in the tournament, both against lower division foes.

Their league record could not be more different. Forest only have one away goal in their first Premier League season in more than two decades, and that came in a 1-1 draw at Everton way back in August.

That’s well below what the data says Forest should have by now, with 5.1 xG created in their eight away games to date. But most of that has come against lesser foes; They’ve generated only 1.5 xG combined in four away games against top-half teams (Manchester City, Arsenal, Newcastle United & Brighton and Hove Albion).

Brennan Johnson had a brace while Taiwo Awoniyi and Jesse Lingard also scored at Blackburn.

The former two have combined to score five times in the EPL this season, but the latter has yet to find the net in the league as he prepares to face his former club.

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Manchester United vs. Nottingham Forest Pick

The hidden aspect of United’s home record so far may be their strength of schedule.

Not only have the Red Devils made Old Trafford a fortress again under first-year manager Erik ten Hag, they’ve done so against elite foes.

Five of their six league fixtures have come against teams who enter the weekend in the top seven. Manchester United have taken 13 points from those games.

Forest will be the worst away team to date to appear at Old Trafford in the league. They are multi-goal losers in three of their four away trips against top-half opponents.

The value here is on them losing by two or more again, at -110 odds and an implied 52.4% probability.

Pick: Manchester United -1.5 (-110)

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