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MLS Betting Odds, Predictions and Pick (Thursday, July 16): Montreal Impact vs. Toronto FC

MLS Betting Odds, Predictions and Pick (Thursday, July 16): Montreal Impact vs. Toronto FC article feature image

Douglas P. DeFelice/Getty Images. Pictured: Montreal Impact’s Ballou Tabla

  • Betting odds for Thursday's MLS Is Back Tournament rivalry match between Toronto FC and Montreal Impact have Toronto as -103 favorites, Montreal at +240 and the draw at +275.
  • Montreal is coming off a disappointing 1-0 loss to New England, while Toronto settled for a 2-2 draw in its first match against D.C. United.
  • Below you'll find a full betting preview of the match, including picks on both the moneyline and over/under.

MLS: Montreal vs. Toronto Odds

Toronto odds -103 [BET NOW]
Montreal odds +240 [BET NOW]
Draw +275 [BET NOW]
Over/Under 2.5 (-143/+110) [BET NOW]
Time Thursday, 8 p.m. ET

Odds as of Thursday morning and via DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks.

The latest edition of the Canadian Classique takes place Thursday when rivals Montreal and Toronto FC battle it out at the MLS is Back Tournament in Orlando.

Always fun and full of physicality, this chapter in the “401 Derby” will surely bring the heat in this Group C showdown at the ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex.

Montreal enters the match looking for answers after a disappointing 1-0 shutout loss against New England in its opening fixture. The Impact looked disinterested and sluggish throughout the match, so the club must find its bearings against its counterpart or it will find itself stuck at the bottom of the group with anything but a victory.

On the other side, Toronto FC has to be kicking itself after its frustrating 2-2 draw against D.C. United in its opening group-stage match. The Reds, who have reached the MLS Cup final in three of the past four seasons, jumped out to a 2-0 lead at the half behind a brace from Ayo Akinola and looked to be well on their way to the full three points.

Toronto FC even went up a man before halftime when Junior Moreno was sent off with a red card, which meant D.C United had to play down a man the entire second half.

However, D.C. United managed to put Toronto FC on its heels and struck for two late goals to secure the come-from-behind draw, mustering a point in the process.

Montreal and Toronto FC have a fierce distaste for one another in this rivalry, which Toronto FC has had the upper hand on over the course of its existence. The Reds hold a 23-13-10 advantage against the Impact, including an 8-4-1 edge in the last 13 meetings across all competitions.

If this were a regular-season match in Canada, I would heavily lean toward the total staying under the number. However, things have been heating up down in Florida, with nine of the last 10 matches going over 2.5 goals, and I am going that route on this occasion. Both teams need to get a result out of the game and a draw just won’t cut it for either side.

Expect an early goal to open things up and turn this into an exciting, back-and-forth affair. It might not be as nuts as San Jose’s crazy 4-3 win against Vancouver on Wednesday, but could have plenty of fireworks of its own.

If you’re looking for a side, sprinkle a little on Toronto FC to grab the win. The Reds are in better form and should have collected three points from the opener. Manager Greg Vanney will have his troops ready and primed for a better performance against Thierry Henry’s side.

Pick: Toronto -103, over 2.5 (-143)

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