Crystal Palace vs. Leicester City Monday Premier League Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions (Dec. 28)
Michael Regan/Getty Images. Pictured: Leicester City stars Jamie Vardy, left, and James Maddison.
- Struggling Crystal Palace hosts Leicester City in Premier League action Monday at Selhurst Park.
- The Eagles have lost their last two matches by a combined score of 10-0, including a 7-0 defeat to Liverpool two games back.
- Jeremy Pond breaks things and tells us why he's backing the Foxes in a low-scoring affair below.
Crystal Palace vs. Leicester City Odds
|Crystal Palace Odds||+280 [BET NOW]|
|Leicester City Odds||+100 [BET NOW]|
|Draw||+255 [BET NOW]|
|Over/Under||2.5 (-112/-112) [BET NOW]|
|Time||10 a.m. ET|
|TV||NBCSN | fuboTV|
Things could get pretty interesting in Premier League action Monday when Leicester City visits Selhurst Park for a showdown with Crystal Palace.
The Foxes enter the match in the thick of race for top of the table, sitting in third place with a 9-1-5 record (W-D-L) on 28 points. They trail Everton by just a point in the standings and sit three back of defending champion Liverpool.
On the other side, the Eagles have been in a terrible run of form as of late. The hosts, who are winless in their last four fixtures, are coming off a 3-0 shutout loss to Aston Villa. That setback has Crystal Palace on a downward spiral, putting it in 13th place with a 5-3-7 record for 18 points.
Let’s take a look at what’s on deck with these clubs in this intriguing fixture.
Things have gone south pretty fast for manager Roy Hodgson and the Eagles. They’ve been shut out their last two matches, including that 7-0 shellacking suffered against Liverpool just two games back.
Toss in back-to-back 1-1 draws with Tottenham Hotspur and West Ham United, and you have a club really trying to find itself again in England’s top flight.
Standout Wilfried Zaha continues to lead the fading Crystal Palace offense, recording a team-best seven goals this season. He and the rest of the attack must end this current cold spell if the Eagles going to have a chance of picking up a result against an in-form Leicester City outfit.
When looking at the statistical data, Crystal Palace’s overall numbers are relatively poor and reflect where it currently sits on the table.
The Eagles boast a subpar 15.2 expected goals and brutal 21.7 expected goals against, resulting in a disappointing -6.5 xGDiff and -0.44 xGDiff/90 minutes. Their xGA ranks 17th our of 20 teams, with two of the clubs (West Bromwich Albion and Sheffield United) firmly positioned in the relegation zone.
Life in East Midlands could not be going much better for the Foxes, who enter this match fresh off a 2-2 draw on against Manchester United on Boxing Day at King Power Stadium.
Leicester City was actually outplayed in that meeting, with the Red Devils holding a 2.2 xG-1.2 xG edge. However, the Foxes did enough to secure a point and keep its place in the top three in the standings.
Standout Jamie Vardy is having another impressive season, racking up 11 goals for Leicester City. The haul has him right in the thick of the Golden Boot race, putting him just two off Mohamed Salah’s league-leading 13 goals.
As you probably guessed, Leicester City’s advanced metrics are plausible across all categories. The Foxes have generated a respectable 22.5 xGs and middle-of-the-road 19.3 expected goals against, resulting in a solid +3.2 xGDiff and +0.21 for xGDiff/90 minutes.
Betting Analysis & Picks
This short turnaround is really going to wreak havoc on plenty of clubs, particularly those out of sorts at the moment.
Leicester City has really been in fine form as of late. That come-from-behind stalemate against Manchester United, which is nipping at its heels on the table, has to give them even more confidence entering this tilt.
In contrast, Crystal Palace has been completely out of sorts and has conceded 10 goals without one to show for itself in its last two fixtures. That 7-0 debacle against Liverpool two back seemingly carried over into the Aston Villa fixture, which gives me very little confidence in the host side.
That said, I fancy the Foxes in this contest and will back them on the moneyline to bag all three points. Vardy and the lads have too much firepower for the Eagles, whom they defeated twice last season via shutout wins.
Add in the fact Leicester City has won six of its last seven away league games, and I like my chances with this wager.
I will also sprinkle a little on the total staying under the alternative number of 2.75 goals as well. The short rest is going deliver a plethora of low-scoring games I think, so we will play this angle at a fair price.
Picks: Leicester City ML (+100) | Total Under 2.75 Goals (-143)