Newcastle United vs. Leicester City Sunday Premier League Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: (Jan. 3)
Scott Heppell – Pool/Getty Images. Pictured: Newcastle United defender DeAndre Yedlin, right, battles with Liverpool star Mohamed Salah.
- Newcastle United is coming off a scoreless draw with league-leading Liverpool.
- Can the Magpies carry that momentum into Sunday's Premier League match against Leicester City?
- BJ Cunningham thinks so and explains below.
Newcastle vs. Leicester City Odds
|Newcastle odds||+430 [BET NOW]|
|Leicester odds||-159 [BET NOW]|
|Draw||+300 [BET NOW]|
|Over/Under||2.5 (-122/+100) [BET NOW]|
|Time||Sunday, 9:15 a.m. ET|
Leicester City looks to maintain its place inside the Premier League’s top four Sunday when it heads to northeast England to battle Newcastle United.
The Magpies, who have been through a rollercoaster of a season thus far, currently sit in 14th place on the table with a 5-4-6 record. The last time they were on the pitch they held league leader Liverpool to a scoreless draw.
Can Newcastle pull off a similar result against another powerful team?
Leicester City drew with Crystal Palace on the road Monday, but it didn’t alter its place in standings and kept it in third place. The Foxes are one of the best teams away from home in the league, boasting a 6-1-1 record and plus-10 goal differential.
Are the Foxes going to continue to take care of business away from King Power Stadium?
The Magpies have been much better at home than on the road. Newcastle has a -1.24 xGD at St. James’ Park, compared to a -6.92 xGD on the road. The biggest improvement for Newcastle this season has been in the defensive end, allowing just 1.54 xG per match this year compared to 1.76 xG last season.
The arrival of Callum Wilson from Bournemouth has been one of the best signings in a long time for Newcastle. The striker has already bagged seven goals in his first nine appearances for the Magpies, generating 0.67 xG per 90 minutes.
However, the Magpies are desperately missing Allen Saint-Maximin. Newcastle’s go-to, creative midfielder has been sidelined the last few matches due to COVID-19 issues and is doubtful for Sunday’s match.
The Foxes have had a wild season, where they’ve beaten some of the best teams in the league. At the same time, they’ve drawn and lost to some teams at the bottom of the table. Despite being in third place, the Foxes only have a +4.40 xGD, which is seventh best in the league.
Basically, all of their scoring goes through Jamie Vardy, as the 33-year-old has been involved in 46 percent of their goals this season. Vardy is also averaging a ridiculous 0.86 xG per 90 minutes, which is the highest rate in the league. Outside of Vardy, though, the Foxes don’t have a lot of scoring threats.
Leicester City has won just one of its last four league matches and were held in check Monday at Crystal Palace, so will they have a similar fate in this game?
Projections and Pick
Even though the Foxes are in third place, I think they’re are a tad overvalued in this spot. Newcastle has been solid at home this season and likely drew some confidence that tie with Liverpool.
Since I only have Leicester City projected as a -105 favorite, I think there is some value on the Newcastle spread of +0.5 at +133 odds.
Pick: Newcastle +0.5 (+133)