English Premier League Betting Odds & Picks for Tuesday’s Manchester United vs. Southampton (Feb. 2)
Tim Keeton/Getty Images. Pictured: Marcus Rashford.
- Manchester United looks to get back on track when it hosts Southampton on Tuesday.
- After a 13-match unbeaten run, United earned just one point from its last two games.
- Matt Trebby expects it to get back on track against the Saints and dives in to find the betting value.
Manchester United vs. Southampton Odds
|Manchester United Odds||-250|
|Day | Time||Tuesday | 3:15 p.m. ET|
Coming off winless league matches over the weekend, Southampton and Manchester United face off at Old Trafford in a match of importance for both, although for different reasons.
The Red Devils enter this round of fixtures three points behind their city rivals, Manchester City, who also have a game in hand while sitting atop the Premier League. United dropped points in their last match and know they can ill-afford to do that in a matchup they’ll be expected to win.
Southampton, meanwhile, have one win in their last eight Premier League games, which was a 1-0 win over Liverpool back on Jan. 4. During that run, the Saints have found themselves unable to score enter this matchup having lost their last three games.
Let’s find the betting value from Manchester.
After losing to Arsenal on Nov. 1, United went on a 13-match unbeaten run in the Premier League that took them to the top of the league. That didn’t last, though.
The Red Devils have now taken just one point from their last two matches, a shocking home defeat to Sheffield United and an away draw with Arsenal.
In the latest match against the Gunners, United had the two best chances of the game and will feel unlucky that professional goalscorer Edinson Cavani was unable to convert either in the second half.
United could be a bit concerned with its attack. Over their past four games, they have three Premier League goals, having been shut out by Liverpool and Arsenal.
Midfielder Bruno Fernandes and winger Marcus Rashford have a combined 18 goals on the season, but Cavani and Anthony Martial have just six between the two in a combined 31 league appearances. Mason Greenwood has one in 15 games, as well.
The lack of goals from key attackers is startling from United, who finished the restart of last season in sensational form, especially Martial. That play has not carried over to this season for the Frenchman, and the Red Devils are still searching for a consistent striker to score for them.
What has been pretty solid for manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer has been his defense. Harry Maguire is in good form and has been partnered by either Victor Lindelof or Eric Bailly of late, both of whom have been relatively solid, especially Bailly.
Southampton looked like they would be competing for a top-four spot early in the season, only to have their momentum stopped by an injury to striker Danny Ings. Now, they can’t score.
The Saints have scored just three goals in their last eight matches, from which they have earned six points. They have netted just once between losses to Leicester City, Arsenal and Aston Villa. That goal came from a corner kick in the third minute against the Gunners courtesy of a clever training-ground move and a strong Stuart Armstrong finish.
Southampton’s best form of attack this season has been the set piece. According to WhoScored, 10 of their 27 goals this season have come from dead-ball situations. That number is second in the Premier League to West Ham’s 11.
Betting Analysis & Picks
It would be just slightly overdramatic to say that United need these three points to stay in the title race, but with the form that City is currently in, they probably can’t afford too many slip-ups down the stretch.
I don’t expect one here. The performance away to Arsenal could have been much worse given the Gunners’ current form, and there were chances created that a player like Cavani would usually put away.
United’s moneyline here (-200) is begging to be paired with something else to get us some value. I’ll target 3.5 goals as a total and parlay the under (-210) with United to win. That gets us to +140 on DraftKings.
Given United’s defense play and Southampton’s inability to score, I’d expect a low-scoring victory for the Red Devils. This gives us a bit of wiggle room.
Pick: Parlay: Manchester United ML & Total Under 3.5 Goals (+140)