West Bromwich Albion vs. Crystal Palace Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions for Premier League (Sunday, Dec. 6)

West Brom vs. Crystal Palace Odds

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Clubs looking to make moves up the Premier League table go at it Sunday when West Bromwich Albion hosts Crystal Palace at The Hawthorns.

The Baggies got a much-needed victory in their last outing, picking up a 1-0 win over Sheffield United. Conor Gallagher gave the win to West Brom, which has been in a relegation fight since the start of its campaign.

On the other side, the Eagles lost their second consecutive game last time out in a 2-0 shutout defeat to Newcastle United. Crystal Palace, which started off strong, continues to slide down the table and sits in 13th place.

Needless to say, this is an ultra-important affair for both sides. Let’s take a look and see what’s on deck.

West Brom

Manager Slaven Bilić and the Baggies had to breathe a little sigh of relief after last week’s triumph over Sheffield United.

If there was ever a time to say a game was a “must-win,” that Sheffield United fixture was it for West Brom. Gallagher’s strike proved to be the difference, putting the club in 18th place on six points in England’s top flight.

Now, the Baggies hope they can generate some momentum after that first win and grab more points against a Crystal Palace side that has struggled as of late.

When it comes to the statistical data, West Brom has put some terrible numbers so far. The Baggies boast a modest 6.7 xGs and stellar 19.1 expected goals against, generating a -12.4 xGDiff and -1.25 for xGDiff/90 minutes.

Crystal Palace

Things have not been all that lovely at Selhurst Park for the Eagles, who have been out of form in their recent fixtures.

Crystal Palace, which will get star Wilfried Zaha back in the fold for the game, has lost three of its last four contests. What’s raised eyebrows for manager Roy Hodgson is the fact the Eagles were shut out in all three defeats, including a 1-0 debacle against 19th-place Burnley.

As for the comparison to West Brom in the advanced metrics, Crystal Palace is better across all figures, but the numbers are nothing to write home about.

The Eagles have generated a dismal 10.2 xGs and mediocre 14.2 expected goals against, resulting in a -4.0 xGDiff and -0.40 for xGDiff/90 minutes. The latter two numbers are toward the bottom of the league table.

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Betting Analysis & Picks

Bottom line, this is a match featuring struggling teams that really need to get things going on the pitch.

In games so evenly matched like this affair, I tend to lean toward the “hotter” hand. And if it’s the home side, that’s even better.

That said, I am backing West Brom to pick up its second win of the season via a Draw No Bet wager at a fair price. I think that monster effort against Sheffield United is going to propel the Baggies and move them clear of the bottom three on the table.

I will also play the total to stay under the number. There have been less than three goals in West Brom’s last seven league matches. Add in the fact only one outfit has scored in the last five meetings (and seven of the last eight fixtures), and you have to like your chances with this wager.

Picks: West Brom — Draw No Bet (+108) | Total Under 2.5 Goals (-155)