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Wolverhampton vs Newcastle Betting Preview: Updated Premier League Odds, Picks & Prediction (Sunday, Aug. 28)

Wolverhampton vs Newcastle Betting Preview: Updated Premier League Odds, Picks & Prediction (Sunday, Aug. 28) article feature image
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Matthew Ashton – AMA/Getty Images. Pictured: Newcastle United standout Allan Saint-Maximin.

  • Wolverhampton welcomes Newcastle United to Molineux Stadium for Sunday's Premier League match.
  • The visiting Magpies are slight moneyline favorites, but analyst Brett Pund has found betting value elsewhere in this contest.
  • Check out below why he's targeting the game total as his top pick in this meeting.

Wolves vs. Newcastle Odds

Wolves Odds +175
Newcastle Odds +165
Draw +220
Over/Under 2.5 (+104 / -128)
Day | Time Sunday | 9 a.m. ET
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Odds updated as of Saturday evening via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute soccer odds here.

Wolverhampton welcomes Newcastle United to Molineux Stadium on Sunday searching for its first Premier League win of the season.

Wolves have struggled to start the new campaign, falling to Leeds United and Tottenham Hotspur to go with a draw with Fulham.

Meanwhile, the Magpies are unbeaten through three games, which includes an entertaining 3-3 tie with Manchester City last weekend.

This doesn’t look like a fixture that’s going to have many goals, but there should still be plenty of value on the betting board to cash a winning ticket.

Wolverhampton

The big question coming into the season for manager Bruno Lage’s team was who was going to score the goals to keep the club in the English top flight.

This has still been the primary issue that needs to be solved, especially with Wolverhampton only finding the back of the net once through its opening three games.

However, Mexican striker Raúl Jiménez could make his first start of the season, which would be a great addition to a struggling attack.

By The Numbers

  • 2.7 — Only Southampton, Leeds and Bournemouth have created less expected goals this season than Wolves, according to fbref.com.
  • 2.25 — In home games last campaign against teams outside of the top six, those matches finished with a combined xG average of fewer than 2.5 goals per 90 minutes.
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Newcastle United

The great momentum that was built at the end of the last campaign has carried over into this season, with Newcastle entering this game in sixth place with five points.

However, manager Eddie Howe will need his team to play better away from home after being outplayed at Brighton & Hove Albion two weeks ago.

While Wolves haven’t had a consistent goalscorer, striker Callum Wilson has been a strong forward for the club, bagging a pair of goals in three starts.

By The Numbers

  • 0.7 — If you remove the match against City, Newcastle held Brighton and Nottingham Forest to this xG average.
  • 2.26 — Since Howe became the boss, this has been the combined xG average in Magpies’ road matches against sides outside of the Top 6 in the league.
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Betting Analysis & Pick

When I look at this match, I don’t see a very open game that’s going to involve a lot of goals. So, I’m backing the total falling under 2.5 goals at -128 odds at FanDuel as my best bet.

I would lean toward taking the Magpies if I wanted to get behind a team in this contest, but Wolves should be desperate for points at home.

If you are looking for a better price, you could look at the Both Teams to Score (No) market at -110 odds or the total staying under 2.25 goals (-105) on the Asian Handicap if your sportsbook offers those wagers.

The Pick: Total Under 2.5 Goals (-128)

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