World Cup Day 17 Betting Recap: Hosts Russia Upset Spain in Penalty Kicks
It was a wild Sunday at the World Cup as regulation wasn’t enough for either match to be settled. Hosts Russia shocked Spain in penalty kicks in the opener, and Croatia slipped by Denmark, also in PKs, in the later match.
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Here’s a look at all the betting results from Sunday.
Match #52: Croatia vs. Denmark (Round of 16)
Result: Croatia 1-1 Denmark (Croatia advances after PKs)
Moneyline: Draw +224
Spread: Denmark +0.5 (-112)
Total: Push (2 goals)
The string of early goals continued as it took less than a minute for Denmark to get on the board against Croatia.
And for the fourth consecutive match, the team going down 1-0 was able to tie it 1-1, this time less than three minutes later.
Bettors on the over (2) were feeling great and were in a no-lose situation, now needing just one more goal over the next 85 minutes for an easy win. But it never came.
In a competitive back-and-forth battle, neither team scored again and they entered extra time at 1-1. The draw closed +224 with just 6% of tickets. More than 80% of bets were on Croatia to win in regulation.
Both teams had chances but it was Croatia’s Luka Modric with a golden opportunity deep into extra time to win it, only to be denied by a clutch save from Denmark goalie Kasper Schmeichel.
Denmark had survived extra time, sending the game to penalty kicks to decide it.
The teams matched each other in the first four rounds: Miss, Make, Make, Miss. After Denmark failed to convert their fifth, Croatia had another chance to put Denmark away, and they did.
Ivan Rakitic slotted it home and sent Croatia to the quarterfinal, where they meet Russia on Saturday.
It was the first shootout in World Cup history to have five penalty kicks saved. It was the fifth ever shootout to have five missed penalty kicks (including non-saves: off post, over the bar, wide, etc).
Match #51: Spain vs. Russia (Round of 16)
Result: Spain 1-1 Russia (Russia advances after PKs)
Moneyline: Draw +303
Spread: Russia +1 (-107)
Total: Under 2.5 (-106)
It looked like this match could be a blowout from the start as Spain earned a dangerous free kick early and capitalized on it to take a 1-0 lead.
An own goal to open the scoring was listed at +2500, and any own goal during the match was listed at +800.
Spain’s lead didn’t even last until halftime, though, as Sergio Ramos was called for a hand ball in the box creating a penalty kick. Russia converted it calmly to tie the game 1-1.
The second half wasn’t the easiest on the eyes, and it was basically Spain passing the ball around while trying to find a way through. It never happened though, and the game went into extra time tied 1-1. That meant that the draw cashed, Russia +1 cashed, and Under 2.5 cashed.
Even after 30 minutes of extra time, Spain still couldn’t find the decisive goal. The match was heading to penalty kicks.
Spain won the coin toss and elected to shoot first. Andres Iniesta converted, but so did Fedor Smolov for Russia to make it 1-1. After Pique and Ignashevich both scored to make it 2-2, it was Spain’s Koke getting denied.
Down 4-3 in penalty kicks, Spain had one last chance to stay alive but Iago Aspas’ shot was brilliantly saved.
That was it. Russia pulled off the incredible upset and will now face Croatia in the quarterfinal on Saturday.
Spain was one of the pre-tournament favorites to win the World Cup at +650. Russia was listed around +7500.
Russia was also listed at +330 to advance past Spain (-380) before the Round of 16 match.