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Cameron Norrie vs. Karen Khachanov French Open Odds, Preview, Prediction (May 27)

Cameron Norrie vs. Karen Khachanov French Open Odds, Preview, Prediction (May 27) article feature image
Credit:

John Berry/Getty. Pictured: Karen Khachanov.

  • Cameron Norrie is -220 to beat Karen Khachanov and advance at the French Open.
  • Kenny Ducey evaluates the match and offers his betting analysis
  • Read on to see where he's putting his money in this third round match.

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Norrie vs. Khachanov Odds

Norrie Odds -220
Khachanov Odds +180
Total 37.5 (-120 / +100)
Time 11:45 a.m. ET
Odds via DraftKings. For tips on watching tennis matches, click here.

After his meteoric rise to the top 10 in 2021 which featured his first two titles at the ATP level, Cameron Norrie has done well to back up his season in 2022 by lifting two more trophies.

One man who seemed to have a good read on him last season was Karen Khachanov, who defeated the British No. 1 twice in four meetings. Can the Russian keep things close on Friday?

Let’s have a look at this matchup.

Norrie Staying Consistent After Breakout Season

While most expected Norrie to come crashing back down to Earth after a career year in 2021, it seems the Brit is here to stay.

After a slow start to his season thanks to Covid, Norrie quickly regained his fitness and won the ATP 250 event down in Delray Beach before reaching the final in Acapulco.

The lefty enters this match on a six-match winning streak, having just won the small French Open tune-up event in Lyon, and he’s once again enjoyed life on the clay with an 11-4 record on the surface this year.

Norrie prides himself as one of the fittest players on tour, able to sustain long match after long match. With all that being said, Norrie will enter this match having played six matches in the span of eight days.

While it’s unlikely Norrie will come out of the gates gassed, that could be something to watch out for if the match goes past the minimum three sets.

Stylistically, Norrie hasn’t always been a natural fit for clay, but he’s quickly learned and perhaps mastered the surface. He has a big, looping forehand with a ton of action once it hits the dirt and his volleying skills allow him to finish points.

If there’s one weakness here on the clay it’s his backhand, which essentially does nothing on the surface.

Khachanov Underrated On Tour

While winning a Masters 1000 tournament four years ago at the age of 22 was a monumental achievement for Khachanov, it was probably the worst thing that could have happened to him from as it pertains to public opinion.

He’s been held to the same high standard ever since, and despite holding a winning record on tour every year since then he’s constantly viewed as a volatile and unreliable player to back from a betting perspective.

Khachanov is still a player with tremendous ability. Sure, errors can leak off his racquet the same as they can for anyone. When he’s on, though, he’s incredibly dangerous. Khachanov can deliver a strong first service and his forehand is hit with conviction while finding acute angles.

He has had a pretty decent season, playing a tight match with Novak Djokovic in Dubai and Roberto Bautista-Agut the week prior. He’s racked up a 17-13 record, though it’s hard to find more than one or two bad losses on his season.

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Betting Value

Khachanov and Norrie have met five times in their careers, and they’ve all been within the last 14 months or so.

Norrie leads the head-to-head 3-2, though it should be said the one meeting this year could have gone either way. Khachanov had a tired Norrie on the ropes in the second set with set points on the Brit’s serve and he was unlucky not to get it to a third — where he would have had a great shot at winning.

What’s evident from watching the last two meetings between these two is just how well Khachanov reads the Norrie serve. He is all over it and forces his opponent into awkward positions with the depth he is able to get the ball back with. I truly believe there is nothing separating these two and would call the match a coin flip.

With that, I’ll grab the 4.5 games.

Pick: Khachanov +4.5 Games (-110)

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