Ons Jabeur vs. Ajla Tomljanovic US Open Odds, Analysis: Jabeur’s Incredible Season to Continue (September 6)

Jabeur vs. Tomljanovic Odds

It's just a matter of days before we crown the champions at the US Open, as a handful of matches remain on the women's side of things. And Tuesday features a quarterfinal-round matchup between Ons Jabeur and Ajla Tomljanovic.

Let's check out where the value lies in this matchup!

Jabeur Looking to Continue Grand Slam Success

It's been an incredible season for the 28-year-old from Tunisia, who's posted a remarkable 42-13 record to this point on the season. Having racked up a few big titles and a few more finals, Jabeur has been really tough to take down on the biggest stages.

Other than a shocking first-round loss at the French Open, it has taken a really strong opponent or physical issue to stop the World No. 5. After coming within a set of the title at the All England Club, Jabeur's looking to go one step further in New York City.

She has the game to do just that. With a strong first serve, as well as potent groundstrokes and excellent tennis IQ and variety, it's no surprise that she's found incredible amounts of success on all surfaces.

Having dropped just a single set this week (one that saw her commit over 20 unforced errors against Shelby Rogers), her form has been strong.

While Tomljanovic can strike the ball well and has a decent serve, it isn't overwhelming power and hitting through Jabeur should be a tall task.

Tomljanovic Continuing Strong Summer Push In Queens

Speaking of in-form players, one cannot talk about the summer hard-court swing (or US Open Series) without mentioning the success of the Australian.

Likely to be cast from here on out as "the woman who ended Serena Williams' career," Tomljanovic has really come into her own in the last two months. Now 13-3 (including qualifying matches) since Washington, the 29-year-old has been a tough out on hard courts. It took Iga Swiatek to do the job in Toronto, eventual-champion Liudmilla Samsonova in Washington and a quick-court specialist and eventual-finalist Petra Kvitova in Cincinnati.

Unfortunately, in this case, she's coming up against a player of that top-tier level in Jabeur.

Equipped with a decent serve and well-rounded game from the baseline, with an impeccable ability to hit her spots, Tomljanovic is one of those players who's finally starting to beat players she should on a more consistent basis. The problem is Jabeur isn't one of those players.

Betting Value

Considering the step up in talent for Tomljanovic here and Jabeur's form, I find it hard to side against the Tunisian in this spot.

With the Aussie having shown off her impressive defending and ability to redirect shots into open space, Jabeur's well-known tendency to mix in dropshots will be extremely useful in getting Tomljanovic away from her strong suit of baseline tennis.

With her style of landing some incredibly precise shots, the risk of of her being slightly off on the day and not being able to construct ways to win points is also present.

I'll be backing Jabeur to come through this one and reach yet another semifinal at a big-time tournament.

Pick: Jabeur -3.5 Games (-115 via PointsBet)