WTA ‘s-Hertogenbosch Tennis Odds, Predictions: Trust Alexandrova to Cruise Past Kalinina (June 8)
Europa Press Sports/Getty. Pictured: Ekaterina Alexandrova reacts after winning at the Madrid Open against Amanda Anisimova.
The rain has subsided at WTA ‘s-Hertogenbosch and the level of tennis on Tuesday was outstanding.
Wednesday’s order of play brings more value-filled matches for us to enjoy.
Read on for my best bets and previews.
Match times are subject to change. Read here for tips on viewing tennis matches.
Catherine McNally (-120) vs. Tamara Zidansek (+102)
8 a.m. ET
Catherine McNally is clearly enjoying her return to grass. McNally qualified for ‘s-Hertogenbosch and won her first round match over Daria Saville in straight sets.
McNally won 58% of her second-serve points against Saville, while taking home 72% of the points on the Aussie’s second serve.
This continues a trend from qualifying where no opponent in ‘s-Hertogenbosch so far has won 50% of their second serve points against McNally.
The American is 17-6 on grass in her career and she has made the junior Wimbledon doubles final three times. Net play is important on grass and McNally is rock-solid at the net.
McNally is aggressive in her approach from the baseline and tries to attack whenever possible.
Tamara Zidansek is not known for her grass-court craft, but she had a successful first match in Netherlands. Zidansek defeated Harmony Tan 1-6, 6-2, 6-4 in the first round.
Zidansek returned Tan’s second serve well, winning 69% of her second-serve return points. She ultimate broke Tan’s serve six times.
However, Zidansek will need to improve on her own serve, as she won just 44% of her own second-serve points in the match. The Slovenian’s second serve cannot sit up in the box against McNally’s return.
Zidansek is just 5-5 on grass in her career and this will be just her third match on grass since 2019. Her heavy forehand is less effective on grass, with the topspin doing less damage. Zidansek’s good movement is also neutralized by the attack-oriented approach that grass-court tennis brings.
Opponents are also able to rush Zidansek on grass in a way that they can’t on slower surfaces.
While Zidansek is the better overall player, McNally’s at her best on grass, while the Slovenian is at her worst. McNally’s attacking tennis will rush Zidansek in a way that Tan’s more passive game didn’t.
Zidansek’s second serve also sits up in the box and will be a sitting duck for McNally to attack. Look for McNally to be aggressive with her second-serve returns and put Zidansek in uncomfortable positions from the start of rallies.
Pick: McNally ML (-120 via FanDuel)
Ekaterina Alexandrova (-275) vs. Anhelina Kalinina (+210)
9:30 a.m. ET
Ekaterina Alexandrova was two points from defeat in her first round match against Dayana Yastremska in ‘s-Hertogenbosch. However, Alexandrova came back from a set down to defeat Yastremska 2-6, 7-6(1), 6-2.
Once Alexandrova found her footing in the third set against Yastremska, she won 89% of her service points and wasn’t broken again. Alexandrova did a great job of attacking Yastremska’s second serve.
For the entire match, Alexandrova won 63% of her second-serve return points and broke Yastremska five times.
Alexandrova’s game is well-suited for the grass, as she has a big first serve and powerful groundstrokes that force opponents on the defensive. Therefore, while the Russian is just 18-13 in professional matches on grass, she has the potential to do much better on the surface.
Anhelina Kalinina also survived a tough first-round encounter in the Netherlands. Kalinina defeated Olivia Gadecki 6-3, 4-6, 6-4.
Against Gadecki, Kalinina won 65% of her second-serve return points and broke the Aussie’s serve seven times in 15 return games. Kalinina did a good job on her own first serve, winning 71% of her first-serve points. She struggled on her second serve, however, winning just 42% of her second-serve points.
Kalinina is just 6-7 on grass in her career, and she never won more than two matches in a row. Her skill set does not translate well to grass.
The Ukrainian is very consistent from the baseline and gets good depth on her groundstrokes, but she doesn’t have too much power and can get pushed around on faster surfaces.
Alexandrova has the clear surface advantage in this matchup and she should be able to hit through Kalinina. Alexandrova will also be able to go after Kalinina’s second serve effectively.
In terms of Elo ratings, while Alexandrova’s overall Elo is only 34.3 points higher than Kalinina’s, the Russian’s grass-court Elo is 134.2 points higher.
Pick: Alexandrova 2-0 (-110 via BetMGM)
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