2019 Turkish Airlines Betting Preview: Who Can Stop Justin Rose From a Three-Peat?


Ian Rutherford, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Haotong Li

Nov 05, 2019, 10:27 PM EST

With the PGA Tour taking a week off following the Asian swing, we’ll shift our focus to the European Tour and the Turkish Airlines Open this week.

Two-time defending champ Justin Rose headlines this no-cut event along with Patrick Reed.

The Course

Montgomerie Maxx Royal in Belek, Turkey will play host to the event this year. This will be the fourth time the course has hosted the event, most recently in 2015. Victor Dubuisson has two wins here and Brooks Koepka won on the other occasion when he was a regular in Europe in 2014.

The course checks in at just under 7,200 yards for a par 72. So it’s not overly long and has played fairly easy on every occasion. Dubuisson won at 22 and 24-under par, while Koepka reached 17-under in his win.

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Water is in play on about half the holes, so some precision is required here. But longer hitters will have an advantage, as there are five Par 5s there for the taking. Looking at the past winners, Dubuisson and Koepka, both do a lot of damage off the tee. Koepka is far longer though, while Dubuisson is slightly above average with his length but one of the more accurate drivers in Europe.

Players can go about it in different ways on this course, but they’ll definitely need to have a strength off the tee to compete here.

The Favorites

As mentioned, Justin Rose has won the last two events and will be the favorite this week, but neither of his wins came on this course. He was third here though in 2013, so his game should fit this course as well as he goes for the three-peat after opening at +750.

Patrick Reed is next in line at +1000.  Reed’s game is in really good shape. He backed up his win in the FedEx Cup Playoffs with top-20 finishes in six of his next seven starts. He finished eighth last week.

Shane Lowry, Matt Wallace and Tyrrell Hatton are each in that +1600 to +1800 range depending on where you look. Both Wallace and Hatton made the card in China last week. Wallace was awful, but Hatton turned a slow start around on the weekend and will probably be a popular pick this week.

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