Last week, Dustin Johnson was the outright favorite a tournament that included Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, Rory McIlroy and was won by Bryson DeChambeau.
This week, Corey Conners, Will Zalatoris and MacKenzie Hughes are co-favorites in a field that is headlined by Henrik Stenson.
To casual fans, this week's tournament may not jump off the page, but here at GolfBet we love each PGA TOUR event equally because we know that the money you win on Adam Schenk is just as green as the scratch you win on Collin Morikawa.
Here are our favorite outright bets for the 2020 Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship:
Jason Sobel
Sepp Straka (+4000)
I listed Sam Burns as my favorite outright play in my original preview column this week, but as I wrote in my follow-up piece, sometimes keeping an open mind helps form new opinions, so while I still like the LSU product, I’m going to go with a Georgia guy here in Straka. He owns a nice record playing in the PGA TOUR’s tropical locales and posted a T-14 to start the season two weeks ago at the Safeway Open.
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Matt Vincenzi
Pat Perez (+3300)
“The Prince of Paspalum” is a perfect fit for Corales.
Perez has been excellent on seaside paspalum courses with two of his three PGA TOUR wins taking place on similar courses (2016 OHL at Mayakoba and 2017 CIMB Classic at Kuala Lumpur). He also has some recent success at these tracks including a T8 at Mayakoba in 2019 and a 6th in 2018.
Seaside paspalum is a unique surface on TOUR and Perez has been a staple on the leaderboard in just about every event where it is featured. The Strokes Gained metrics also indicated that Perez is a paspalum specialist (2.559 Strokes Gained:paspalum vs 1.474 Strokes Gained:total).
After winning the CIMB Classic at Kuala Lumpur in 2017 he stated: “It’s actually not even the course that suits my eye, it’s the greens. Mayakoba, where I won, has the same greens and I putted better than anybody there, too. So I don’t know what it is. It’s the grass.”
Perez has shown some life recently finishing T9 at the Safeway Open and has gained strokes tee-to-green in his past three starts. His excellent course fit and flashes of form recently make him an intriguing bet to win this week.
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Chris Murphy
Sam Burns (+2000)
I thought we might see Sam Burns finally break through two weeks ago at the Safeway Open. He looked great after 36 holes, holding a 4-shot lead, and while he squandered that lead over the weekend, it’s still a matter of when, not if Burns wins on TOUR.
The former LSU Tiger has shown an ability to contend at lower scoring, weaker field events like is expected this week as he finished 7th at Safeway, 13th at Wyndham, and 6th at the AmEx. He also has prior history at Corales with a solid 12th place finish at this event last year.
The setup this week, combined with his form coming in, make Burns a great pick for his maiden victory.
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