Northern Trust Sleeper Picks: Joel Dahmen, Matthew Wolff Among Our Top Longshot Bets
Chris Keane, Getty Images. Pictured: Harris English
- Our staff reveals their top sleeper picks for the 2020 Northern Trust, which tees off Thursday at 7:20 a.m. ET.
- Find out why Joel Dahmen, Matthew Wolff and Shane Lowry are among our favorite longshot bets at TPC Boston.
If you want to know why we love betting longshots around here, look no further than Jim Herman, who cashed at 600-1 to win the 2020 Wyndham Championship last week.
Of course the field at the Wyndham Championship was a lot weaker than the one we’ll see at The Northern Trust, but Herman’s win served as another reminder about why betting on the PGA TOUR is so damn fun.
Here are our favorite longshots for the 2020 Northern Trust:
Shane Lowry (+10000, $10 wins $1,000)
He wasn’t quite the bubble boy, but Lowry snuck into the first playoff event, thanks to a solid finish in Greensboro.
Now that he’s in, there’s no reason he can’t contend. Already a major and WGC winner, he could become the 13th player to also add a playoff victory to his resume. (Fun bit of trivia with the dirty dozen who already have: Tiger Woods, Keegan Bradley, Justin Thomas, Rory McIlroy, Patrick Reed, Dustin Johnson, Jason Day, Adam Scott, Henrik Stenson, Justin Rose, Phil Mickelson and Vijay Singh.)
Lowry is already trending in the right direction and playing with the proverbial house money could be a huge advantage this week.
Joel Dahmen (+17500)
Dahmen finished 10th at the PGA Championship and 20th at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational, giving him eight top-20 finishes in 12 events in 2020.
Since January at Torrey Pines, Dahmen hasn’t lost strokes off the tee or with his approach, with the exception of the two events at Muirfield Village.
Dahmen didn’t quite make my card this week, but that was only because of the way I constructed it for the playoffs. I do like him as a top-20 play this week, though.
Harris English (+9000)
English is clicking in the metrics I’m weighing this week. Not only does he rank 15th in ball-striking and 11th in Greens in Regulation (GIR), English also has good course history at TPC Boston with four made cuts in his last five trips to Norton, Mass.
English also brings great form with him to Boston as he’s finished inside the top-23 in eight of his last nine events.
Matthew Wolff (+6000)
Wolff was a few missed short putts away from winning the PGA Championship. Instead, the 21-year-old had to watch fellow young superstar Collin Morikawa hoist the Wanamaker Trophy.
A fourth-place finish at his first-ever major is nothing to scoff at however, and that performance was on the heels of a 12th-place finish defending his title at the 3M Open. He added those recent finishes to another near-victory finishing second at the Rocket Mortgage Classic earlier this season.
In addition to his hot recent form, Wolff is a perfect fit for TPC Boston. He has the length to challenge the reachable par 4’s and to gain eagle opportunities on the Par 5’s. If Wolff has learned anything from his recent close calls, he has a good shot to get into contention on Sunday.