The Best PGA Championship Matchup Bets: Patrick Reed Over Matthew Fitzpatrick, More
Sam Greenwood/Getty Images. Pictured: Patrick Reed
- In honor of the first golf major of 2020, our analysts have identified their favorite matchup bets for the PGA Championship.
- Find out why they see betting value on Patrick Reed over Matthew Fitzpatrick and more matchups below.
But you should always look to matchup markets to find edges.
This week at the 2020 PGA Championship, our staff has honed in on a few different angles — the Bryson fade, a South African duel and selling Matthew Fitzpatrick’s scorching hot putter.
PGA Championship Matchup Bets
Tony Finau (-106) over Abraham Ancer (DraftKings)
I wanted to pull the trigger here on Tommy Fleetwood (+110) over Dustin Johnson, but we all know DJ could show up with his best stuff this week. Instead, I’ll take Finau in this one.
Until last week’s mediocre result, when he clearly had to be gassed after contending the previous week, Finau was clearly trending in the right direction. We all know about his struggles to close out tournaments, but he only needs to beat one other guy here. I do like Ancer this week, as well, but I think Finau is a more polished player and more experienced major championship competitor.
Eric Van Rooyen (-110) over Christian Bezuidenhout (Westgate)
In the battle of South Africans, I’ll take the more experienced EVR here. He’s much better off the tee than Bezuidenhout, which will give him a nice edge.
He’s also made the cut in all four of his major appearances. Bezuidenhout has just one major start when he missed the cut at the Open last year.
Justin Thomas (-125) over Bryson DeChambeau (Westgate)
There is no explanation needed for backing Thomas, who won St. Jude after finishing top 10 in three other events in the COVID swing. The Alabama alum has a golf game that translates to any course, and the continuity of Jim “Bones” Mackay on the bag is only a positive.
Thomas is first in strokes gained on approach, a category Bryson DeChambeau is struggling to maintain a top 100 ranking in. TPC Harding Park has a course design built with a few tricks in tree lines and bunkers. Simply flying the hole will not work, as the rough will increase hazard chances this weekend.
DeChambeau missed the cut at The Memorial after an extended hot streak. He will have to have better results than his two missed cuts at Torrey Pines, a course that is similar to TPC Harding Park.
Patrick Reed (+100) over Matthew Fitzpatrick (DraftKings)
Reed didn’t have his (Captain) A-game at the start of last week, losing 3.27 strokes with his irons over his first two rounds. The American fixed something over the weekend and hit it heaps better through approach, gaining 1.27 over his last rounds.
Fitzpatrick has seen a price increase in both the outright and DFS markets over the previous two weeks with a third at Memorial and a sixth in Memphis — and I’m not buying it.
Fitzy has been “middle of the pack” with his ball-striking, but the putter has been on fire, gaining 10 strokes last week and 8.1 the week previous.
Fitzpatrick’s putting splits have all the makings of regression, and if he’s not gaining an abundance of strokes with the flat stick, I’m not sure I can trust his ball-striking to get him through the week.