Workday Charity Open Predictions: 4 Bets To Win At Muirfield Village

The top of the PGA TOUR oddsboard looks a little different this week.

Bryson DeChambeau and Rory McIlroy are taking the week off so we have a new favorite in town.

Justin Thomas (+1100) will wear the crown vacated by DeChambeau but he's got plenty of company as there are six golfers listed between +1000 and +2000 at DraftKings as of Tuesday night. Patrick Cantlay (+1300), Jon Rahm (+1300), Brooks Koepka (+1700), Xander Schauffele (+1700) and Hideki Matsuyama (+1700) are all right behind JT and the odds are telling us that this could really be anybody's week.

Three of our four golf analysts have skipped right over the top of the board for their favorite outright bet this week but one of them, Bryan Mears, thinks that one of the elites is set up to take down this field.

Check out our favorite outright bets for the 2020 Workday Charity Open below:

Jason Sobel

Cameron Champ +7500 ($10 bet wins $750)

Once upon a time – like, all the way back to two whole years ago – Champ was the Next Big Thing in golf, before Collin Morikawa and Sungjae Im and Viktor Hovland and Joaquin Niemann and Matthew Wolff and any other Next Big Thing that I’m leaving off this list. He won in his second start after getting a PGA TOUR card and backed it up with finishes of 11th-or-better in three of his next four events. And then… it all just stopped.

Champ put up an amalgam of mediocre results and MCs until this past fall when, out of nowhere, he won again. Since then, he’s yet to post another top-10 on his home circuit, though he came close with a T-12 in Detroit this weekend after earning late entry into the field on Wednesday.

With such an influx of potentially great young players, it’s easy to overlook Champ, but that would be a mistake. In a field flush with elite-level talent, he’s on the verge of reminding us that we shouldn’t forget about him on this list, too.

Josh Perry

Bubba Watson +8000

I’m not really loving much on this board, so I’ll take a flier with Bubba at anything north of 70-1.

Watson's results since the break have been inconsistent and his course history at Muirfield Village is up and down, but there's not that much risk going this far down the board.

If Bubba can work his way into contention, he's good enough to go toe-to-toe with any of the big names at the top of the board.

Bryan Mears

Jon Rahm +1500

As I wrote in my course breakdown piece, I think Muirfield this week is going to set up pretty easy: Ball-striking will likely remain a premium over distance, but in general this course is going to be scorable.

In that case, I really want to prioritize guys who can get hot and pour in a ton of birdies rather than ones who play consistent par golf.

And Rahm is perhaps the most extreme example of that type of golfer: He can disappoint at times with bogeys, but he can also go win a tournament by six strokes. When he’s hot, there may be no better golfer in the world — he’s done that multiple times in his career.

I normally don’t like taking guys to win in this range, but I do think Rahm is underpriced in the market currently. I think he should be in the 10-11/1 range, and he’s 15/1 at FanDuel and BetMGM.

Collin Wilson

Collin Morikawa +3300

I focused on five statistical categories to come up with my card for the 2020 Workday Charity Open.

Muirfield Village requires high marks in ball-striking, scrambling, par-3 scoring, par-4 scoring and driving accuracy. The three golfers that check in the top-50 of those respective statistics are Jon Rahm, Sungjae Im and Collin Morikawa.

The world is waiting for Rahm to break out and his price is too short for my liking, while Im's scrambling leaves something to be desired. That leaves Morikawa to tick all the boxes I'm looking for at Muirfield Village.