Download the App Image

2022 Butterfield Bermuda Championship Odds & Expert Picks: 7 Best Bets for Michael Gligic, Stephan Jaeger, Brice Garnett & More

2022 Butterfield Bermuda Championship Odds & Expert Picks: 7 Best Bets for Michael Gligic, Stephan Jaeger, Brice Garnett & More article feature image
Credit:

Via James Gilbert/Getty Images. Pictured: Michael Gligic of Canada walks on the 9th green during the third round of the Korn Ferry Tour Championship presented by United Leasing and Financing at Victoria National Golf Club on September 03, 2022 in Newburgh, Indiana.

Click arrow to expand 2022 Butterfield Bermuda Championship odds via bet365
Player Name Odds
Denny McCarthy +1600
Thomas Detry +2000
Seamus Power +2200
Mark Hubbard +2200
Nick Hardy +2500
Aaron Rai +2500
Adrian Meronk +2500
Justin Lower +2800
Patrick Rodgers +2800
S.H. Kim +3000
Alex Smalley +3300
Stephan Jaeger +3300
Robby Shelton +3500
Russell Knox +3500
Adam Schenk +4000
Brandon Wu +4000
Adam Long +4500
Greyson Sigg +4500
Byeong-Hun An +4500
Will Gordon +5000
Nick Taylor +5000
Callum Tarren +5000
Chesson Hadley +5500
Harry Hall +5500
Garrick Higgo +5500
Erik van Rooyen +6000
Cameron Percy +6000
Sam Ryder +6000
Zecheng Dou +6600
Joseph Bramlett +6600
Lucas Glover +7000
Doug Ghim +7000
Ryan Armour +7000
Michael Gligic +7000
Austin Eckroat +7500
Tyler Duncan +8000
Andrew Novak +8000
Ben Taylor +8000
C.T. Pan +8000
Kramer Hickok +8000
Charley Hoffman +8000
Henrik Norlander +8000
Austin Smotherman +8000
Brice Garnett +8000
Scott Piercy +9000
Kevin Yu +9000
Hank Lebioda +10000
Matti Schmid +10000
Robert Streb +10000
Michael Kim +10000
Ben Griffin +10000
MJ Daffue +10000
Sam Stevens +10000
Luke Donald +10000
Vincent Norrman +10000
Matthias Schwab +10000
Brian Stuard +11000
Nate Lashley +11000
Ben Martin +11000
Camilo Villegas +11000
Austin Cook +12500
Brian Gay +12500
William McGirt +12500
Augusto Nunez +12500
Chad Ramey +12500
Fabian Gomez +14000
Harrison Endycott +14000
Vaughn Taylor +15000
Erik Barnes +15000
David Lingmerth +15000
Cody Gribble +15000
Seung-Yul Noh +15000
Aaron Baddeley +16000
Nicholas Lindheim +16000
Jonathan Byrd +16000
Philip Knowles +17500
Chris Stroud +17500
Scott Gutschewski +17500
Sean O’Hair +17500
Harry Higgs +17500
David Hearn +17500
Brandon Matthews +17500
Kevin Tway +17500
Scott Brown +18000
Tano Goya +20000
Kevin Roy +20000
Brent Grant +22500
Bill Haas +22500
Trevor Cone +22500
Richy Werenski +22500
Grayson Murray +22500
Scott Harrington +25000
Kevin Chappell +25000
Sung Kang +25000
Eric Cole +25000
Nick Watney +27500
John Vanderlaan +27500
Max McGreevy +30000
Nicolas Echavarria +30000
Dylan Wu +30000
Tyson Alexander +35000
Carson Young +35000
Robert Garrigus +35000
Tommy Gainey +35000
Caleb Surratt +35000
Aaron Jarvis +40000
Akshay Bhatia +40000
Kyle Westmoreland +40000
Sangmoon Bae +40000
Greg Chalmers +40000
Wesley Bryan +40000
Ben Crane +40000
Clay Feagler +40000
Chandler Blanchet +40000
Palmer Jackson +40000
Ricky Barnes +45000
James Nicholas +50000
Ryan Brehm +50000
Jonas Blixt +50000
Bo Van Pelt +50000
Martin Trainer +50000
Trevor Werbylo +60000
J.J. Henry +75000
Michael Sims +100000
D.A. Points +100000
Willie Mack III +100000
D.J. Trahan +100000
Greg Koch +125000
John Daly +150000
Nick Jones +250000
Jarryd Dillas +250000
Kim Swan +500000

The PGA TOUR heads to Southampton, Bermuda this week for the Butterfield Bermuda Championship. After we saw Rory McIlroy reclaim the No. 1 spot in the Official World Golf Ranking with a win at THE CJ CUP in a field featuring 15 of the top 20 players in the world, 48th-ranked Seamus Power is the highest ranked player this week. This means there’s value to be found farther down the board without star power at the top.

Our analysts have found seven best bets for the Butterfield Bermuda Championship this week, including five outright plays and two exotic bets. Check out their picks and analysis below.

Bet the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, Win $200 (No Matter What!)

Brice Garnett +10000 (DraftKings)

Jason Sobel: Before I tell you about Garnett, here are a few things to think about when it comes to outright bets this week.

First, this is not only a great week to jump on some big prices pre-tourney, but during the event as well – especially entering Sunday’s final round. The first three rounds are now forecasted to feature some rainy and breezy conditions, but Sunday is predicted to see 35 mph gusts, which could turn this leaderboard upside down. We witnessed this exact scenario just a year ago, when Taylor Pendrith entered the final day with a three-shot lead and wound up losing by three. Keep this in mind later in the week.

Second, our thought process toward this one should be more mutual fund than blue-chip stock. If you had Rory McIlroy at last week’s CJ CUP, congratulations. Chances are, you didn’t also play 5-6 other outrights. Instead, you paid up for the blue-chipper, and he paid off. I think this week’s strategy is to look at your outrights as more of a portfolio, a group of investments which could offer a nice ROI.

Or in other terms, you probably wouldn’t walk into a convenience store and purchase a single lottery ticket; you’d get a few of ‘em to at least give yourself a few chances. Same thing here.

Okay, now let’s get to Garnett, who serves the quizzical niche of playing his best golf in tropical locales against inferior fields. (Yes, that’s really a thing.) His lone PGA TOUR victory came at the Corales Puntacana event in 2018, where he also has a ninth-place finish. He owns four results of 11th or better at Mayakoba and two inside the top seven in Puerto Rico.

His only previous start in Bermuda came two years ago, when he posted a final-round 65 to finish T-21. Again, this is hardly one of those outright picks where I’m suggesting you take out a second mortgage on Garnett. Instead, I like him to start a card which should include plenty of players with some bigger odds. Among the others I also like: Nick Taylor, Callum Tarren, Chesson Hadley and Sam Ryder.

Bet the Butterfield Bermuda Championship risk-free up to $1,000.

Kevin Yu +9000 (bet365)

Chris Murphy: This is a good week to throw some darts at talent at longer numbers. With the top of the field being weaker, there is a great opportunity to see some of these longshots contend for the victory.

Kevin Yu finished inside the top 25 last year on the Korn Ferry Tour to earn his promotion, but he also stepped up in a similar PGA TOUR event in the spring when he finished T7 at the Puerto Rico Open. He has since made the cut in all three of his PGA TOUR appearances this fall with a top 20 coming at the Shriners, and in all three tournaments he gained at least four shots on the field with his ball striking. He’s struck it really well but found trouble on the greens.

I am hopeful the slower putting surfaces may help him find something on the greens this week in Bermuda, and at +8000 we are getting solid value to take that shot.

Michael Gligic +170 Top Canadian (bet365)

Spencer Aguiar: With little value in the head-to-head market, I will get cute and grab Michael Gligic +170 to be the Top Canadian against Nick Taylor and David Hearn. These are not parts of the board I typically will rush to for my best bet, but I like the value on the 33-year-old since my model believes Gligic is the rightful favorite in this three-way matchup.

For starters, we are naturally getting some inflation on Gligic because of Hearn’s course history after seeing him produce a 39th, eighth and eighth in his three years at the track, but I am not as bullish on his current potential as some in the space, as his recent form sees him as a golfer ranked 1,343rd in the world.

Hearn has struggled to make cuts on the Korn Ferry Tour and failed to post a top 35 in anything since the Astara Golf Championship in February earlier this season.

On the other hand, Taylor consistently has remained an overvalued commodity for me these past few weeks, showing more as a mid-end talent in a lot of these fields, even though the price tag has consistently yielded top-25 expectations on the betting board.

I probably do like his upside this week more than usual since the history he has provided on short courses is rather pronounced, but Gligic is one of the more underrated options for me this week, which we see by him ranking first in this field for Ball Striking + Weighted Proximity and landing as one of only three players to generate top-30 marks in par 3, par 4 and par 5 totals during my recalculated portion of the model.

My favorite way to play this is to take Gligic to come 52nd or better on a site like bet365 for around 0.60 units and merge it in with a half unit on this three-way wager above. I will number-grab this situation to try and jump ahead of the market on a player who is being overlooked, according to my math.

Get up to $1,100 back if your Butterfield Bermuda Championship bet loses.

Akshay Bhatia +25000 (DraftKings)

Matt Vincenzi: While he had an up-and-down season last year on the Korn Ferry Tour, I still believe Akshay Bhatia is a future star. Still just 20 years old, the North Carolina native won the 2019 Jones Cup, was the top ranked junior in the country and was the first high-schooler ever to become a member of the winning United States Walker Cup team in 2019.

He managed to win his first start on the KFT last year at the Bahamas Great Exuma Classic at Sandals Emerald Bay. His ability to win on a coastal resort course that can play pretty difficult should aid him in his efforts to contend in Bermuda.

Stephan Jaeger +3700 (FanDuel)

Derek Farnsworth: This is one of those courses that negates really good off the tee play. The course measures only 6,800 yards, and a lot of that length is hidden in three of the par 3s that measure over 215 yards. All three of the par 5s are reachable in two, and eight of the par 4s measure fewer than 420 yards.

Distance has not played a factor in determining a winner, and that’s pretty clear when you consider the fact that Brendon Todd and Brian Gay have won this event in two of the last three years. I mention all of this because the biggest weakness for Jaeger has been off the tee. He’s certainly improving in that area, but I’m sure he’ll be relieved to play a course where he doesn’t need to drive it perfectly to contend.

He’s very good with the rest of the clubs in his bag. He can get red-hot with his irons (has gained over four strokes on approach five different times since the start of May), he’s elite around the greens, and he’s had very good putting splits on bermuda greens over the last two seasons.

The forecast looks awfully windy on Friday and Saturday, which could be beneficial for Jaeger given the fact that his strengths should hold up in the wind (iron play and short game). If he can avoid that blow up round that seems to be haunting him, I like his chances to contend this week.

Bet the Butterfield Bermuda Championship and get $500 in bet credits. NJ only.

Robby Shelton +4000 (DraftKings)

Landon Silinsky: Robby Shelton has been tearing up the Korn Ferry Tour this season, having already posted two wins and an additional runner up finish since the middle of June. While this event is technically a PGA TOUR event, the field is as weak as we’re going to see all season, hence why Shelton is 40/1.

With off the tee play being a bit mitigated due to how short Port Royal is, both approach and around-the-green play will be paramount. This is great news for Shelton because he ranks 21st in this field in SG: Approach and 11th in SG: Around the Green over his past 12 rounds.

He’s had a nice fall swing so far as well, coming off a T15 at the Shriners, which was on the heels of a T21 at the Fortinet. He’s firing on all the cylinders that matter for this event, and I like chancing him at these odds.

Adam Long to Miss the Cut +210 (BetMGM)

Rob Bolton: You’ve read about it all over this page and others this week. As much as it’s rightful to reach for a longshot, that same uncertainty points to the promise of unlikely failures.

While I’ve endorsed Adam Long as a default Draw, this is a sizable kickback for a guy who has been this close to a coin flip to cash throughout his career.

Long’s narrative is that he does damage after he makes a cut – over half of his 62 career paydays have gone for a top 25 – so we’ve already known him to be an aggressive, all-or-nothing player.

Additional variables favoring a payoff in Bermuda include the fact that he’s a tournament debutant with no experience in what is forecast to be unpredictable wind and weather throughout, and that he owns one of the higher ball flights on the PGA TOUR.

The must-have app for golf bettors

Custom scoreboard for your bets

Free picks from experts

Live odds for every golfer

How would you rate this article?