2022 Puerto Rico Open Odds & Picks: Curtis Thompson, Austin Smotherman, Dylan Wu Offer PGA Value

2022 Puerto Rico Open Odds & Picks: Curtis Thompson, Austin Smotherman, Dylan Wu Offer PGA Value article feature image

Meg Oliphant/Getty Images. Pictured: Curtis Thompson

Click arrow to expand 2022 Puerto Rico Open odds via BetMGM
Matthias Schwab+1800
Mark Hubbard+2000
John Huh+2500
David Lipsky+2800
Joseph Bramlett+2800
Rafa Cabrera-Bello+2800
Kurt Kitayama+3000
Peter Uihlein+3000
Chase Seiffert+3300
Dylan Wu+3300
Nate Lashley+3300
Ryan Armour+3300
Austin Smotherman+4000
Brian Stuard+4000
Chad Ramey+4000
Victor Perez+4000
Nick Hardy+4000
Satoshi Kodaira+4000
Bill Haas+5000
Brice Garnett+5000
Bronson Burgoon+5000
Chan Kim+5000
Kevin Chappell+5000
Kyle Stanley+5000
Ryan Brehm+5000
Scott Brown+5000
Tyler Duncan+5000
Vaughn Taylor+5000
Andrew Novak+6600
Brandon Wu+6600
Callum Tarren+6600
Camilo Villegas+6600
Chris Stroud+6600
Seth Reeves+6600
Sung Kang+6600
Justin Lower+6600
Kiradech Aphibarnrat+6600
Ben Kohles+8000
Bo Hoag+8000
Curtis Thompson+8000
Jared Wolfe+8000
Jason Dufner+8000
Jim Herman+8000
Josh Teater+8000
Kelly Kraft+8000
Kevin Yu+8000
Luke Donald+8000
Martin Trainer+8000
Max McGreevy+8000
Scott Gutschewski+8000
Trevor Werbylo+8000
P. Flavin+8000
Austin Cook+8000
B. Stegmaier+8000
Aaron Baddeley+10000
Ben Martin+10000
Bo Van Pelt+10000
Cameron Percy+10000
Chesson Hadley+10000
David Hearn+10000
David Skinns+10000
Rafael Campos+10000
Brett Drewitt+12500
B. Nimmer+12500
Christopher Gotterup+12500
D.J. Trahan+12500
Grayson Murray+12500
Jim Knous+12500
Joshua Creel+12500
Michael Gligic+12500
Michael Kim+12500
Robert Garrigus+12500
Seung-Yul Noh+12500
Fabian Gomez+15000
Richy Werenski+15000
Ted Potter Jr+15000
William McGirt+15000
Greg Chalmers+15000
David Lingmerth+20000
Dawie van der Walt+20000
Sangmoon Bae+20000
A. Romero+25000
Ben Crane+25000
D. Ernst+25000
Tommy Gainey+25000
C. Beljan+30000
G. McNeill+30000
J.J. Henry+30000
M. Every+30000
Ricky Barnes+30000
S. Ralston+30000
A. Tosti+30000
D.A. Points+40000
E. Figueroa+40000
J. Bohn+40000
Christian Salzer+40000
C. Pettersson+50000
Charlie Wi+50000
Erick Morales+50000
H. Slocum+50000
John Merrick+50000
Mark Hensby+50000
Parker McLachlin+50000
R. S. Johnson+50000
Ryuji Imada+50000
S. Kaufman+50000
C. Couch+50000
Eric Axley+75000
Jonathan Kaye+75000
Alan Morin+100000
B. de Jonge+100000
H. Silfa+100000
J. Rollins+100000
Kevin Stadler+100000
Omar Uresti+100000
R. Nieves+100000
Frank Lickliter ll+100000
Carlos Franco+200000
Ted Purdy+200000

For the first time, we have the Puerto Rico Open playing opposite of the Arnold Palmer Invitational as opposed to a WGC.

That means, we're treated to an even weaker field than normal since more of the high-level Korn Ferry Tour grads qualified for the main PGA event this week.

Bet at FanDuel and get a $1,000 risk-free bet.

The Course

Coco Beach plays at around 7,500 yards for a par 72. It’s long, but players don’t need to bomb it off the tee to compete here. We’ve had Tony Finau and Viktor Hovland break through here against the likes of Steve Marino and Josh Teater, but shorter hitters like Scott Brown and Chesson Hadley have victories, as well.

The course is wide open outside of a few lakes and the rough is pretty short, so if players just stay dry, they won’t find too much trouble. If the wind picks up, though, it can play more difficult. We’ve seen winning scores range from 7-under to 20-under, depending on the breeze.

Prior to Hovland’s win, this had been an event in which young, up-and-coming players get a taste of contention before falling just short to a veteran. Bryson DeChambeau, Jordan Spieth, Daniel Berger and Jason Day all have runner-up finishes here.

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2022 Puerto Rico Open Odds, Picks

The Favorites

The top of the board has a European flair this week. No one opens below +2000, and that's the number Matthias Schwab checks in with. He's coming off a seventh at the Honda Classic after really not putting up much of a result anywhere this year, but he's still without a professional win anywhere, so it's tough to back him here.

John Huh, Joseph Bramlett and Mark Hubbard are all next in line at +2200. Of the group, Hubbard will probably draw the most interest after two good weeks in Florida on the PGA and Korn Ferry Tours. He's also played well here in the past, finishing 15th in 2016.

Rafa Cabrera Bello and Victor Perez close out this range at +2800. Rafa should garner the most interest — he was second in Abu Dhabi last month on the DP World Tour and has finished inside the top 25 twice at this event.

The Mid-Tier

I'll start my card with Austin Smotherman at +4100 on FanDuel. He's been striking the ball well all season. The short game tends to be an issue, though — he lost four strokes around the green at the Honda Classic to miss the cut, but it was the fifth time in seven starts he'd gained strokes both off the tee and on approach in an event.

Next up is Dylan Wu at +4500 on bet365. Wu has put up some solid results to begin 2022: He was 20th at the Sony Open and 30th at last week's Honda Classic. He has a good short game and the irons have shown up pretty well against stronger fields.

I'm also going with Curtis Thompson at +8000 on BetMGM. Thompson gained over four strokes on the approach at the Honda, but had a dreadful week with the short game, losing more than six shots. The driver is his strength, which has helped a few guys here in the past. He's a better putter than what he's shown recently, so if his current ball striking can line up with a better week on the greens, he's got a chance to take this title.

Finally, we'll close this range with Sung Kang at +7000 on bet365. Kang's game has been hit and miss, but he gained nearly five shots on his approach in Phoenix a few weeks ago. If he can find that type of game with the irons this week, he can contend in this field.

Bet the Puerto Rico Open at BetMGM and get a risk-free bet up to $1,000.

The Longshots

I'm not going too far down here, but I will take a shot with Seung-Yul Noh at +12500 on BetMGM. Noh hasn't shown much recently, but his best result of the season came at another Caribbean event in Bermuda where he placed 30th.

The Puerto Rico Card

  • Austin Smotherman +4000 (.83 units)
  • Dylan Wu +4500 (.73 units)
  • Curtis Thompson +7500 (.44 units)
  • Sung Kang +9000 (.37 units)
  • Seung-Yul Noh +11000 (.3 units)

Total Stake: 2.67 units

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