2022 RBC Heritage Odds, Predictions, DFS Pick: How To Back Daniel Berger, Adam Hadwin, More
Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images. Pictured: Daniel Berger.
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Click arrow to expand 2022 RBC Heritage odds, via PointsBet
2022 RBC Heritage Odds
|Harold Varner III||+5500|
|Si Woo Kim||+5500|
|J. J. Spaun||+9000|
|Mito Guillermo Pereira||+9000|
|Charles Howell III||+10000|
|Erik Van Rooyen||+10000|
|Andrew D. Putnam||+22500|
|Davis Love III||+50000|
The week after the Masters is always tough to get excited about, knowing we have to wait another year to watch the best golf tournament in the world.
The good news: The field for this week’s RBC Heritage is stronger than anyone could have anticipated, headlined by Justin Thomas, Dustin Johnson, Collin Morikawa and Cameron Smith.
Harbour Town Golf Links is certainly a different test of golf that we saw at Augusta National. It is a par-71 that measures 7,121 yards, and the fairways here are narrow and tree-lined and there are water hazards galore.
Playing from the short grass will be critical, which is why we see so many golfers hit less than driver off the tee on a lot of holes. This is certainly a week to favor driving accuracy over distance off the tee.
The big story with this Pete Dye design are the green complexes. They are 3,700 square feet on average, making them some of the smallest greens on the PGA TOUR.
Naturally, this makes iron play and around the green play extremely important. Golfers will have to be dialed in with their approach shots to give themselves birdie looks and will have to be good around the greens in order to avoid making bogeys.
For this week’s event, I’m targeting golfers who can keep it in play off the tee, are good on approach, can scramble and who have experience here and on other Dye designs.
Favorite Outright: Daniel Berger +3500 (Caesars)
I know he really struggled on the weekend at Augusta National, but that’s been a common theme for Berger over the last five years. I’m willing to overlook one bad outing, especially since he finished T13 at THE PLAYERS and fourth at the Honda Classic.
Berger tends to play his best on shorter courses that feature Bermuda grass greens, so it’s no surprise that he has played well at Harbour Town in his career. He’s accurate off the tee, he’s a top-five iron player in the field, and he’s very good around the greens.
I don’t expect this +3500 number to be around for much longer, so run to Caesars to grab it.
Favorite Longshot: Matt Kuchar +6600 (PointsBet)
It’s the year 2022, and I am betting on Kuchar to win a golf tournament. There are only two possible options here: I’m Charlie Brown trying to kick the football only to have it taken away at the last moment, or Kuchar has actually found something in his game and is ready to contend at these shorter courses again.
At +6600, I’m willing to bet on it being the latter. He’s coming off of his two best finishes in quite some time (T16 at Valspar and second at Valero), and he should be well rested after missing the Masters.
Kuchar clearly loves it around Harbour Town, having made 10 straight cuts here with a win and three other top-10 finishes. And for the record, I will be adding a top-10 bet.
Favorite DFS Value: Adam Hadwin ($7,600 DraftKings / $9,500 FanDuel)
There are two schools of thought on chalk in PGA DFS. The first is that golf is a volatile sport on a weekly basis and it therefore makes sense to fade chalk as much as possible. The other is that if a golfer is clearly underpriced, we should take advantage of the site’s mistakes.
I’m not sure I can get away from Hadwin this week. He’s coming off of three straight top-seven finishes where he gained 11.8 strokes on approach. We know he’s going to hit fairways and we know he has an elite short game, so he could easily find himself in contention again if he continues to stripe his irons.
Best of luck 🍀
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