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Updated 2022 Valspar Championship Odds & 7 Picks for Viktor Hovland, Matt Fitzpatrick, More

Updated 2022 Valspar Championship Odds & 7 Picks for Viktor Hovland, Matt Fitzpatrick, More article feature image
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Getty Images. Pictured: Viktor Hovland (left) and Matt Fitzpatrick.

  • Valspar Championship is next for the PGA TOUR in Tampa, where Justin Thomas and Viktor Hovland top the odds board.
  • Following THE PLAYERS Championship, our GolfBet staff has found value for bettors this week on the Copperhead Course.
  • Check out their detailed breakdowns and favorite bets for the Valspar below.
Click arrow to expand 2022 Valspar Championship odds via PointsBet

2022 Valspar Championship Odds

Golfer Odds
Justin Thomas +1000
Viktor Hovland +1000
Collin Morikawa +1200
Dustin Johnson +1600
Xander Schauffele +2000
Louis Oosthuizen +2200
Sam Burns +2200
Tyrrell Hatton +2200
Matthew Fitzpatrick +2500
Shane Lowry +2500
Abraham Ancer +3000
Brooks Koepka +3000
Jason Kokrak +3500
Gary Woodland +4000
Keegan Bradley +4000
Tommy Fleetwood +4000
Alexander Noren +5000
Bubba Watson +5000
Jason Day +5000
Webb Simpson +5000
Adam Hadwin +6000
Cameron Tringale +6000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +6000
Kevin Kisner +6000
Russell Knox +6000
Brian Harman +7000
Harold Varner III +7000
Mackenzie Hughes +7000
Aaron Wise +7500
Denny McCarthy +8000
Bernd Wiesberger +9000
Francesco Molinari +10000
Jhonattan Vegas +10000
Lanto Griffin +10000
Matthias Schwab +10000
Mito Guillermo Pereira +10000
Adam Svensson +12500
Charley Hoffman +12500
Cheng-Tsung Pan +12500
Davis Riley +12500
Doc Redman +12500
Joel Dahmen +12500
Kevin Streelman +12500
Martin Laird +12500
Patton Kizzire +12500
Alex Smalley +15000
Branden Grace +15000
Brendon Todd +15000
Carlos Ortiz +15000
Danny Willett +15000
Emiliano Grillo +15000
Martin Kaymer +15000
Matt Kuchar +15000
Nick Taylor +15000
Pat Perez +15000
Sahith Theegala +15000
Sam Ryder +15000
Scott Stallings +15000
Taylor Moore +15000
Troy Merritt +15000
Zach Johnson +15000
Adam Long +20000
Andrew D. Putnam +20000
Brian Stuard +20000
Chad Ramey +20000
Chez Reavie +20000
Danny Lee +20000
Graeme McDowell +20000
Greyson Sigg +20000
Lee Hodges +20000
Matthew NeSmith +20000
Michael Thompson +20000
Nate Lashley +20000
Stewart Cink +20000
Vaughn Taylor +20000
Wyndham Clark +20000
John Huh +20000
David Lipsky +20000
Adam Schenk +25000
Hank Lebioda +25000
Hayden Buckley +25000
Henrik Stenson +25000
J. J. Spaun +25000
JT Poston +25000
Kramer Hickok +25000
Kyle Stanley +25000
Matt Wallace +25000
Sean O’Hair +25000
Sung Kang +25000
Trey Mullinax +25000
Vincent Whaley +25000
Austin Smotherman +25000
Andrew Landry +30000
Cameron Percy +30000
Charl Schwartzel +30000
Harry Higgs +30000
Jim Herman +30000
Joseph Bramlett +30000
Peter Malnati +30000
Ryan Brehm +30000
Stephan Jaeger +30000
Kiradech Aphibarnrat +30000
Blake Kennedy +30000
Andrew McCain +30000
Andrew Novak +30000
Kurt Kitayama +30000
Bronson Burgoon +30000
Bill Haas +35000
Brandon Wu +35000
Chun-an Yu, +35000
Henrik Norlander +35000
James Hahn +35000
Luke Donald +35000
Scott Piercy +35000
Tyler Duncan +35000
Brice Garnett +40000
Callum Tarren +40000
Chesson Hadley +40000
Jimmy Walker +40000
Max McGreevy +40000
Roger Sloan +40000
Wesley Bryan +40000
Dylan Wu +40000
Brandon Hagy +50000
Brian Gay +50000
Curtis Thompson +50000
Davis Love III +50000
Jonas Blixt +50000
Kelly Kraft +50000
Mark Hensby +50000
Martin Trainer +50000
Omar Uresti +50000
Richy Werenski +50000
Robert Streb +50000
Seung-yul Noh +50000
Tommy Gainey +50000
William McGirt +50000
Luke Guthrie +50000
Paul Barjon +50000
Seth Reeves +50000
Alex Fitzpatrick +50000
Greg Koch +50000
Jackson Suber +50000
Austin Cook +50000
Bet the Valspar Championship at PointsBet, get $250 FREE.

After the marathon that was THE PLAYERS Championship, the PGA TOUR moves to the Tampa area for the Valspar Championship.

Five of the top-10 players in the world are in this field, which saw a couple players who played into Monday at TPC Sawgrass drop out. With some uncertainty up and down the odds board, though, that just means there are chances for bettors to thrive.

You’ll recognize the names at the top — Justin Thomas, Viktor Hovland, Collin Morikawa, Dustin Johnson, etc. — and while one of our betting analysts is on one of them, the rest see value further down the board.

Without further delay, here are our staff’s best bets for the Valspar Championship.

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Gary Woodland — Top 10 (+700)

Jason Sobel: I listed him as my favorite outright in this week’s preview, but I also warned that I’m less confident in that selection than usual, so I’m hedging toward a top-10 here.

I was searching for a player who didn’t have to wait out the entire weekend at THE PLAYERS, ostensibly coming into this one a little more well-rested than those who played the entire thing. (I like reigning runner-up Keegan Bradley, too, but coming off a Monday evening title contention, some lethargy is inevitable.) But I didn’t want a guy who’d just MC’d and has short odds this week, either; that scares me a little. (Sure, maybe Collin Morikawa was simply mired in the bad draw last week, but I’m not paying up to find out.)

So instead, I went seeking a player who didn’t make the cut and owns some longer odds, but also one who should have some win equity; I mean, there’s no point in taking a guy with a massive number who can’t win. (Matt Wallace is a nice player with a huge price, but he hasn’t made a single cut in the U.S. yet this year.)

Put all those things together and the dial landed on Woodland, who won this tourney 11 years ago, but admittedly hasn’t done much since, with MCs in four of his last six appearances and nothing inside the top-40. Even though he MC’d last week, he was right there in the mix at the Arnold Palmer Invitational two weeks ago, as a pair of pars on the final two holes would’ve given him the title. He’s certainly back to playing some better golf and could maybe find some good vibes at this one.

In what I think is a difficult week to handicap, especially coming off the extended PLAYERS week, I’ll be conservative with all pre-tourney plays for this one.

Matt Fitzpatrick — Top 5 (+500)

Chris Murphy: Fitzpatrick was one of the names I was looking for as odds trickled out on Monday night, and I liked the opening numbers, but unfortunately they were at books unavailable to me. When it got to Tuesday morning and the odds were released at more places, news of withdrawals from Joaquin Niemann and Paul Casey slashed Fitzpatrick’s outright odds. I’m still interested, but it’s a hard sell at around +2500 for a player who is yet to break through in the states.

I’ll instead transition my best bet to be a bit more conservative with a Top 5 over on BetMGM, the books that pays all ties in full. He’s +500 there, which poses good value for a player who is a perfect fit for the course at Innisbrook Resort. It’s a course that doesn’t penalize him for his distance off the tee and really highlights some of his strengths with his ability to hit fairways and greens.

The Englishman also has a heavy preference for the Bermuda grass putting surfaces he will see this week at the Valspar, which really sets him up for a top tier finish after a disappointing missed cut at THE PLAYERS.

Bet Fizpatrick at BetMGM and get a risk-free bet up to $1,000.

Aaron Wise +9000

Matt Vincenzi: Aaron Wise has had some putting woes of late, but his ball striking has been immaculate. At a course where a lot of players will have a hard time putting, his biggest weakness is somewhat mitigated. In his past two starts at API and The PLAYERS, Wise has gained an average of 4.4 strokes on approach and 8.5 strokes from tee-to-green. That type of elite ball striking is exactly what is required to be successful at Copperhead.

The 25-year-old has an incredibly high ceiling and reminds me a lot of Sam Burns coming into this event last year in terms of skill set and career trajectory. Both were highly regarded prior to turning pro with plenty of college accolades. Additionally, both had one PGA TOUR victory at a lesser event (Wise at the 2018 Byron Nelson and Burns the 2021 Sanderson Farms Championship). Interestingly enough, Burns was also +8000 to win the Valspar Championship last year when he hoisted the trophy.

Wise is a talented young golfer with a high ceiling who’s worth a shot at a high price this week. PointsBet has the best number, as of Tuesday night.

Bet Hovland & Wise at PointsBet and get $250 FREE.

Viktor Hovland +1100

Landon Sillinsky: Hovland is coming off a ball-striking masterclass last week at TPC Sawgrass, gaining a whopping 14.1 strokes combined off-the-tee and on approach. That signals that somebody is absolutely ready to win.

As per usual, it was his around-the-green play that kept him from truly contending at THE PLAYERS, especially on Sunday as he lost 1.83 strokes to the field in that department. We know Hovland has a brutal short game, but we also know that’s incredibly volatile week to week.

If we take a broader view we will see just how dominant Hovland has been. He ranks No. 1 in this field across his past 48 rounds in both SG: Off-the-Tee and Approach. There’s a chance he’s the best ball-striker on the planet at just 24-years old.

Hovland’s results dating back to Mayakoba in November read: 1st, 1st, T30, T4, 1st, MC, T4, T2, T9. Hovland has the same amount of PGA TOUR victories over the past four months (two) as Justin Thomas, Dustin Johnson, Xander Schauffele, Collin Morikawa, Brooks Koepka, Louis Oosthuizen, Tyrrell Hatton and Shane Lowry have combined over the past calendar year. (We’re counting the Hero World Challenge.) That is not a typo.

The Norwegian was T3 last year on debut at Valspar and everything is pointing to this golf prodigy improving on that this time around.

Alex Noren — Outright (+7000) and Top 10 (+600)

Derek Farnsworth: I love the number we are getting on Noren this week. I’m betting him outright and to finish inside the top 10.

Noren has made five straight cuts on the PGA TOUR, gaining over 16 strokes on approach during that stretch. He has long been one of the best scramblers in the game, and he has more spike putting weeks than most (where he gains four or more strokes on the greens).

The Swede isn’t the best off the tee, but most players will be clubbing down on a lot of the holes at the Copperhead Course. He has an excellent track record in Florida and finished T21 in his debut at this event last season.

If Noren can keep it together off the tee and have another good week with his irons, I like his chances to be in the mix on Sunday. The best numbers for Noren are at FanDuel.

Bet Noren & Bolton’s prop at FanDuel and get a $1,000 risk-free bet.

Brooks Koepka to miss the cut (+240)

Rob Bolton: First thing’s first.

He was sailing along so nicely, even reliably, but dammit if the dark side of Si Woo Kim didn’t make the dreaded appearance at THE PLAYERS Championship. Nothing is guaranteed, of course, but his mid-tournament WD spoiled an otherwise slick four-headed, top-40 parlay at +2900 for which the other three delivered.

Focusing forward now, I’m taking the week off from even looking at parlays in favor of the prop.

The circumstances are different, but the feeling is the same. Just like Jon Rahm prior to fulfilling my expectation for missing the cut (at +700) at the season-opening Fortinet Championship, Koepka also is checking off his new-event requirement at Copperhead. It’s been seven editions since his last appearance, which means that he hasn’t appeared in the last four. It’s that simple.

As you already know, Koepka is notoriously a non-factor in non-majors and on tracks or experiences with which he doesn’t connect. Because he’s talented for generations, circling this prop is a no-brainer in the absence of engaging motivations. It should be a short stay outside Tampa.

Russell Knox — Top 40 (+100)

Bryan Berryman: I like Knox to keep the momentum going this week at Valspar after an impressive top 10-finish at THE PLAYERS last week.

Knox has been one of the hottest ball strikers on tour in 2022, gaining over 20 strokes tee-to-green over his last five starts. His skill set fits nicely with what the Copperhead course demands, which is backed up by his impressive history here that includes five top-40 finishes in seven career starts.

I’m not sure he has the upside to win this event outright, but I do love the plus money number that is being offered on a top-40 finish this week.”

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