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Updated 2022 PLAYERS Championship Odds & 7 Picks for Jon Rahm, Hideki Matsuyama, More

Updated 2022 PLAYERS Championship Odds & 7 Picks for Jon Rahm, Hideki Matsuyama, More article feature image
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Ben Jared/PGA TOUR via Getty Images. Pictured: Jon Rahm.

  • In search of the top 2022 PLAYERS Championship picks? Our analysts reveal their seven best bets based on the latest odds.
  • Find out why they're targeting Jon Rahm and Hideki Matsuyama to win, plus more outright and prop picks.
Click arrow to expand 2022 PLAYERS Championship odds via PointsBet

2022 PLAYERS Championship Odds

Golfer Odds
Jon Rahm +1200
Justin Thomas +1400
Collin Morikawa +1800
Patrick Cantlay +2000
Rory McIlroy +2000
Viktor Hovland +2000
Daniel Berger +2500
Scottie Scheffler +2800
Hideki Matsuyama +3000
Cameron Smith +3300
Matthew Fitzpatrick +3300
Xander Schauffele +3300
Dustin Johnson +3500
Im Sung-jae +4000
Shane Lowry +4000
Brooks Koepka +4500
Adam Scott +5000
Billy Horschel +5000
Corey Conners +5000
Joaquin Niemann +5000
Jordan Spieth +5000
Louis Oosthuizen +5000
Sam Burns +5000
Tyrrell Hatton +5000
Will Zalatoris +5000
Russell Henley +6000
Si Woo Kim +6000
Talor Gooch +6000
Abraham Ancer +6600
Gary Woodland +6600
Sergio Garcia +6600
Tony Finau +6600
Webb Simpson +6600
Chris Kirk +7000
Max Homa +7000
Paul Casey +7000
Jason Day +8000
Keegan Bradley +8000
Marc Leishman +8000
Tom Hoge +8000
Tommy Fleetwood +8000
Cameron Young +9000
Jason Kokrak +9000
Alexander Noren +10000
Brian Harman +10000
Bubba Watson +10000
Cameron Tringale +10000
Justin Rose +10000
Sebastian Munoz +10000
Thomas Pieters +10000
Aaron Wise +12500
Harold Varner III +12500
Ian Poulter +12500
Keith Mitchell +12500
Kevin Kisner +12500
Kyoung-Hoon Lee +12500
Lee Westwood +12500
Luke List +12500
Maverick McNealy +12500
Patrick Reed +12500
Russell Knox +12500
Seamus Power +12500
Cheng-Tsung Pan +15000
Denny McCarthy +15000
Erik Van Rooyen +15000
Jhonattan Vegas +15000
Lanto Griffin +15000
Lucas Herbert +15000
Mackenzie Hughes +15000
Martin Laird +15000
Matt Jones +15000
Matthew Wolff +15000
Mito Guillermo Pereira +15000
Patton Kizzire +15000
Ryan Palmer +15000
Taylor Moore +17500
Adam Hadwin +20000
Andrew D. Putnam +20000
Beau Hossler +20000
Brendan Steele +20000
Brendon Todd +20000
Cameron Champ +20000
Cameron Davis +20000
Charley Hoffman +20000
Doug Ghim +20000
Dylan Frittelli +20000
Emiliano Grillo +20000
Francesco Molinari +20000
Joel Dahmen +20000
Matt Kuchar +20000
Sahith Theegala +20000
Sepp Straka +20000
Taylor Pendrith +20000
Branden Grace +25000
Carlos Ortiz +25000
Chez Reavie +25000
Garrick Higgo +25000
Henrik Stenson +25000
J. J. Spaun +25000
JT Poston +25000
Lucas Glover +25000
Matt Wallace +25000
Matthew NeSmith +25000
Pat Perez +25000
Ryan Brehm +25000
Troy Merritt +25000
Wyndham Clark +25000
Zach Johnson +25000
Adam Long +30000
Henrik Norlander +30000
Kevin Streelman +30000
Kramer Hickok +30000
Lee Hodges +30000
Nick Watney +30000
Stewart Cink +30000
Adam Schenk +35000
Brandt Snedeker +35000
Brian Stuard +35000
Charl Schwartzel +35000
Doc Redman +35000
Harry Higgs +35000
Hudson Swafford +35000
Kevin Tway +35000
Kyle Stanley +35000
Sam Ryder +35000
Hayden Buckley +40000
James Hahn +40000
Roger Sloan +40000
Scott Piercy +40000
Scott Stallings +40000
Anirban Lahiri +50000
Brandon Hagy +50000
Brian Gay +50000
Brice Garnett +50000
Chesson Hadley +50000
Danny Lee +50000
Hank Lebioda +50000
Jimmy Walker +50000
Joseph Bramlett +50000
Peter Malnati +50000
Richy Werenski +50000
Robert Streb +50000
Stephan Jaeger +50000
Tyler McCumber +50000

 

Bet THE PLAYERS at PointsBet and get $250 FREE.

After a thrilling two months of golf to start 2022, we’ve reached the first big one.

One of the best fields of the year has ascended to TPC Sawgrass for THE PLAYERS Championship, which presents the largest purse of the season at $20,000,000. It is the players’ tournament, after all.

Golf’s “fifth major” will present a stern test this week in Ponte Vedra Beach, Fla., as it appears Mother Nature is not going to cooperate with players. There’s rain in the forecast throughout Thursday and Friday, and even some during Saturday.

With golf’s best in the field this week, some bigger-than-normal numbers are available. Our GolfBet staff has combed the boards and identified its favorite bets for this week.

Check out their picks below.

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2022 PLAYERS Championship Picks

Click on a pick to skip ahead
Picks To Win Outright Daniel Berger
Hideki Matsuyama
Jon Rahm
Will Zalatoris
Prop Picks Brian Harman Top 10
Matt Fitzpatrick Top 20
4-Leg Top 40 Parlay

Matt Fitzpatrick — Top 20 (+185)

Jason Sobel: Going back to the proverbial well here after Fitzpatrick posted strong weekend numbers (compared with the field, at least) to finish T9 at Bay Hill. He was similarly T9 at last year’s edition of THE PLAYERS, which underscores the main reason we should continue backing him: He literally does everything well.

Fitzpatrick ranks second (behind Morikawa, ahead of Jon Rahm) in total strokes gained so far this season. On a track that tests all parts of a player’s game, being proficient across the board seems like a nice place to start looking for contenders.

I’ll admit that a top-20 pick is very conservative here — with the best number coming via PointsBet, as of Tuesday night — so don’t be scared to get a little more aggressive if you wish.

Bet at PointsBet and get $250 FREE.

Update: Matsuyama withdrew from the tournament early on Thursday morning.

Hideki Matsuyama +3000

Chris Murphy: The current Masters champion has been one of the best players in the world this new season, with two wins under his belt already. Now, he’s rolling into a swing of events that he has a history of success.

Matsuyama quietly had the third best round of the final round last week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, where his 2-under 70 bested the field average by more than five shots. He finished T20, but it was a continuation of his overall great play that has me buying his prospects this week at TPC Sawgrass.

Hideki gained 6.3 strokes on the field tee to green last week, with 4.8 of those coming on approach. He only fell short of the field with his putter, but that is nothing new for the Japanese star.

His fate frequently depends on the play of his flatstick, and that has been the case for him at THE PLAYERS too. The two years he has gained strokes putting at this event he has two top-10 finishes and with his form coming in tee to green we just need that putter to cooperate in order to have him in the mix for a win over the weekend.

The golf gods seem to owe him one after he stormed out to a 9-under 63 before this event was canceled after just one round in 2020. That just adds to the positive mojo he has going in 2022. Matsuyama is a great fit for this event and at +3000 odds he’s a nice buy to win his first PLAYERS Championship.

Jon Rahm +1200

Matt Vincenzi: In his past 24 rounds, Rahm ranks first on TOUR in Strokes Gained: Approach, and Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee. Since the calendar flipped to 2022, the Spaniard hasn’t finished outside of the top 21 in any of his six starts.

The problem with Rahm of late has been his short game. He has lost significant strokes putting and around the green in each of his past three starts.

Rahm has perennially been one of the most reliable players on TOUR around the green. In 112 measured starts in his career, he has gained an average of 0.9 strokes putting and 0.5 strokes around the green per event.

At a volatile golf course like TPC Sawgrass, it is even more important to target reliable ball strikers. To say Rahm’s ball striking has been great would be an incredible understatement. “Other worldly” would be more appropriate.

To put it in perspective, over his past 24 rounds Rahm has gained 53.6 strokes. The next best, Will Zalatoris, is at 37.3.I have faith the rest of his game will fall into place with some patience.

In his last two PLAYERS appearances, he finished 12th (2019) and ninth (2021). While both are solid, they’re also a bit deceiving.

In 2019, Jon Rahm was leading when he found a fairway bunker on the par-5 11th hole. Despite his caddie urging him to lay up, Rahm inexplicably went for the green and put the ball in the middle of the lake. Since then, his maturity has grown leaps and bounds which has led him to become the best player in the world.

In 2021, Rahm was in contention on Sunday but forced to play aggressively to catch up. His finishing position would’ve been better if his priority wasn’t winning events at this stage of his career.

Despite the randomness of the event, many of the best players in the history of the game have managed to rise to the top at the PLAYERS Championship. Rahm is in form and now has the experience at TPC Sawgrass to manage the golf course effectively.

Bet Jon Rahm at Caesars and get a $5,000 risk-free first bet.

Daniel Berger +3400

Derek Farnsworth: There were some great finishing position numbers out there earlier in the week, but most of those have been gobbled up by sharp bettors. I can’t sit here and tout odds that are no longer available, so I will look to the outright market instead.

I am betting both Jon Rahm and Daniel Berger this week, but the latter slightly takes the cake as my best bet.

The best number that I’ve been able to find on Berger is +3400 on FanDuel. The last time we saw him, he blew a five-shot lead in the final round of the Honda Classic. While losing the lead stole the headlines, he racked up yet another high-end finish. In fact, he’s finished T11 or better in six of his last 11 starts on the PGA TOUR.

Other than TPC Southwind where he has won twice, I can’t think of a better course for Berger. He’s a very good total driver of the ball (distance and accuracy) and is first in this field in Strokes Gained: Approach over the last eight months and since the start of 2021. He’s good around the greens and we know he has an affinity for Florida golf, having played at Florida State and now living in Jupiter.

The form is right where it needs to be and he has two top-10 finishes at THE PLAYERS in his career. His putter has been holding him back this year, but Bermuda grass is by far his best putting surface.

Bet Berger & Bolton’s prop at FanDuel and get a $1,000 risk-free bet.

Sergio Garcia, Tommy Fleetwood, Si Woo Kim & Paul Casey — All Top-40 (+2900)

Rob Bolton: You’d win a case that there are no “best bets” at THE PLAYERS Championship, but hoo boy, there is no shortage of opportunities to play this week. Make room in your schedule.

With all proper respect to TPC Sawgrass and the wicked weather in store, the smarter play would be to isolate notables who project to be on the wrong side of the draw – assuming there will be a wrong side – and invest in one missing the cut. That only 65 are guaranteed to cash and in one of the thickest fields anywhere are other reasons to turn a negative outcome into a positive.

However, when considering the objective to make the cut, and then to finish inside the top two-thirds of those who do, and THEN to gawk at the line for each of these four to be among them, I paused on this parlay found in “Golf Specials 3” at FanDuel.

Garcia and Fleetwood are in my Power Rankings at PGATOUR.com, so those guys are no-brainers for this prop.

Kim has been quietly and consistently strong enough to warrant the reach most weeks, but he’s a former winner at TPC Sawgrass (2017) and he finished T9 (in pleasant conditions) last year.

Casey also has a solid history here with three top 25s in his last four trips, but he has a solid history just about everywhere. If my Power Rankings was based solely on the unquantifiable attributes necessary to overcome the challenges presented to this field and on this course, he’d be in it.

Brian Harman — Top 10 (+1100)

Landon Sillinsky: Since THE PLAYERS was moved from May to March, Harman has finished T8 and T3 at TPC Sawgrass.

We know he can catch fire with his putter and that Bermuda is his favorite surface. However, it’s been his ball-striking taking center stage of late, as the Georgia Bulldog ranks sixth in this field in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green and 10th in Strokes Gained: Ball-Striking over his past eight rounds.

With the way he’s been hitting the ball, I will gladly take my chances that he posts his third consecutive top-10 here at 11-1.

Bet Harman and Zalatoris at PointsBet and get $250 FREE.

Will Zalatoris +5000

Bryan Berryman: It’s been incredibly frustrating watching Zalatoris play golf to start the year. He has been absolutely lights out tee to green, only to give it all back once he actually gets on the green. It’s been the story so far in his short career, and it could very well repeat itself again this weekend. However, I can’t look past the value in this number for how good the ball striking has been.

Over the last 24 rounds, he ranks third in this field in strokes gained approach, and fourth in strokes gained tee to green. Over the last 100 rounds, he’s second and sixth in those two categories. He’s too good of a fit for this course tee to green to not be considered at this lofty number.

Zalatoris is going to win, and it’s going to be soon. The only thing holding him back lately has been the putts inside of five feet, which I have to believe will eventually get figured out. I’m calling my shot here, and betting this is the week he breaks through for his first win.

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