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2018 British Open: Adam Scott Is a Fade at His Current Betting Price

Jul 12, 2018 10:14 AM EDT

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Adam Scott’s British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $7,800 DraftKings, $9,400 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): T-3, T-5, T-10, T-43, T-22

Odds: +12,500 to win, +600 top-10 finish, +300 top-20 finish, +200 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +200 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 8:15 a.m. ET (Thursday), 3:14 a.m. ET (Friday)

For more British Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

Scott has a solid track record at the Open. He’s been in the top-five three times in the last six years and appeared to have the 2012 title locked up before an epic meltdown gave Ernie Els the win. I’ve already been in and out on Scott for this tournament. He opened at 150-1 on Sportsbook, then crashed to 30-1 and I took the cash-out. As for his current number, 50-66-1 is a little too low for me. He isn’t in the same type of form as someone like Tony Finau or Bryson DeChambeau in that same range. We’d be counting on experience to be of value. Old guys pop up at the Open all the time, but I’ve got my eyes more on someone like Ian Poulter if we’re going down the veteran route.


The Metrics

Here’s how Scott ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-36th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-107th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 7th
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: T-24th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 9th
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-125th

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Adam Scott

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