PGA Matchup Bets: Adam Scott over Paul Casey, More for the 2020 BMW Championship
Maddie Meyer, Getty Images. Pictured: Adam Scott
- Adam Scott over Paul Casey. Tyrrell Hatton over Gary Woodland. Billy Horschel over Matt Kuchar.
- Find out why these are some of our golf betting analysts' favorite matchup bets for the 2020 BMW Championship at Olympia Fields Country Club.
The 2020 FedEx Cup Playoffs continue this week with the 2020 BMW Championship at Olympia Fields Country Club in Olympia, Ill.
Dustin Johnson, fresh off his 30-under performance at The Northern Trust, is the clear betting favorite at +800 but there is some serious firepower in this field. Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, Bryson DeChambeau, Xander Schauffele, Daniel Berger and Rory McIlroy are all between +1000 and +2000.
With so many big names in a limited field, there are quite a few intriguing matchups on the betting board this week.
Here are our favorite matchup bets:
Adam Scott (-110) over Paul Casey
As we all know (or should know), betting is often as much about figuring out whom you don’t like as whom you do like. When I started going through the board this week, I couldn’t find a fade anywhere near the top; just about everyone 50/1 or better is either riding a heater or their price has ballooned to the point where they’re a more attractive play.
I don’t hate Casey this week, but he’s the closest thing I could find to a fade, with that PGA Championship runner-up his lone top-30 result since the restart.
I can see Casey, at 64th on the points list, just playing out the string, while Scott should still be refreshed and recharged with just two starts under his belt this summer.
Tyrrell Hatton (-125) over Gary Woodland
This one is pretty simple.
Hatton is a few scrolls ahead of Woodland in the outright markets this week and with good reason. The Englishman is playing better golf right now.
Hatton’s ball-striking has been solid outside of one event. The same can’t be said for Woodland, who has been all over the map.
Billy Horschel (-110) over Matt Kuchar
After a heartbreaking runner-up at the Wyndham Championship, Horschel stumbled out of the gates at TPC Boston, posting three double-bogeys and missing the cut.
I still like Horschel to put up a good result this week as he currently sits 30th in the FedEx Cup Standings. That may be enough motivation to play better than Kuchar, who is 55th in the table.
This is a bad course fit for Kuchar with long par 3’s and par 4’s which don’t suit his game.
Tony Finau (-106) over Viktor Hovland
I fully expect Tony Finau to bounce back after a disappointing missed cut at The Northern Trust. He actually gained 1.7 strokes Off the Tee last week and 1.3 on approach, so I have no concerns about his current form.
His past finishes at the BMW Championships have been excellent, having finished 4th in 2019, 8th in 2018, 7th in 2017. Alternatively, Viktor Hovland gained 5.2 strokes putting last week at The Northern Trust which was the best SG: Putting performance of his career.
To this point, Hovland has been a well below average putter so I don’t think his recent performance on the greens is sustainable.
His tee to green performance was not overly impressive last week (+0.3 SG:T2G) so I’ll take the track record and consistency of Finau in this matchup.