BMW Championship Picks: Why We’re Betting Jon Rahm and Daniel Berger to Win Outright
Fred Kfoury III/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Jon Rahm
- Our PGA staff highlights their favorite outright bets for Thursday's BMW Championship at Olympia Fields Country Club.
- Among their best bets of the weekend, Jon Rahm and Daniel Berger stand out as upper tier players with strong recent form.
- Meanwhile, Viktor Hovland and Adam Scott offer value further down the oddsboard. Check out our comprehensive betting analysis below.
The 2020 FedEx Cup Playoffs continue this week with the 2020 BMW Championship at Olympia Fields Country Club in Olympia, Ill.
Dustin Johnson, fresh off his 30-under performance at The Northern Trust, is the clear betting favorite at +800 but there is some serious firepower in this field. Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, Bryson DeChambeau, Xander Schauffele, Daniel Berger and Rory McIlroy are all between +1000 and +2000.
Will we see another winner from the top of the board this week? Or are there a couple of players further down the board that deserve our attention?
Check out our favorite outright bets for the 2020 BMW Championship below:
Jon Rahm (+1000, $10 bet wins $100)
A final-round 65 moved Rahm into a share of sixth place at The Northern Trust this past weekend, but it’s another number which should have our interest piqued: During that round, he picked up 2.79 strokes on the field from tee-to-green, a Sunday ball-striking performance we hadn’t witnessed from him since the Workday Charity Open, which he immediately parlayed into a victory at the Memorial Tournament one week later.
Based on history and sheer numbers, it’s tough to believe we won’t again see one of the game’s elite players claim this title. If you believe DJ will keep racking up birdies and eagles, I won’t talk you out of it. If you think it’ll be JT, I can see it. If you prefer Rory or Collin, you might be right.
But if I’ve gotta pick one of the game’s best, I’m taking the guy whose game once again looks to be peaking entering a tough tourney in the Midwest.
Daniel Berger (+2000)
It’s hard to find anyone who’s been more consistent each week this year than Berger. Since bouncing back from injury, he’s taken another step and has shown he’s capable of contending every time he plays, including in these deep fields.
Form tends to carry over in the playoffs and with many of the top guys, like Rory McIlroy, still searching for their A-game, this is a great spot for a guy like Berger to grab his biggest win to date.
Viktor Hovland (+4000)
Olympia Fields Country Club has not hosted a PGA TOUR event since the 2003 U.S. Open, so we can throw course history out the window.
While ball-striking has reigned supreme over the past couple of weeks, I am taking a different approach at the BMW Championship. This is a long course, so what sticks out to me is Hovland’s off-the-tee prowess and his improving approach numbers from 175 yards or more.
Adam Scott (+4500)
Adam Scott is playing in his third straight event and seems to have shaken the rust off gaining 1.4 strokes Tee to Green and 2.1 on Approach at The Northern Trust.
Scott has a long track record of playing his best golf on long classical tracks (Riviera, Firestone, Muirfield Village, Augusta National) and Olympia Fields should be an excellent fit.
Having won a major championship victory (2013 Masters), Players Championship (2004), and a TOUR Championship (2006), Scott is no stranger to the big stage. He also had a strong showing in the FedEx Cup Playoffs last year finishing 5th, 9th, and 6th in the three events.
The 11th-ranked player in the world has plenty of win equity (14 PGA Tour wins) and is far too long of a price this week. When Scott is at the top of his game he can compete with the elite players on tour.