Updated 2022 Masters Odds & Pick: Scottie Scheffler Builds Dominant Lead With Sensational Round 2
Gregory Shamus/Getty Images. Pictured: Scottie Scheffler.
2022 Masters Odds
|Harold Varner III||+4000|
|Si Woo Kim||+20000|
|Odds via BetMGM as of 7:20 p.m. ET on Thursday|
Nobody should really be too surprised that Scottie Scheffler is leading the Masters after two rounds.
The 25-year-old is already enjoying a sensational year of golf. He has picked up his first three wins of his professional career at the Waste Management Open, Arnold Palmer Invitational and WGC-Dell Match Play, all top-tier TOUR events.
Now, two weeks after the Match Play triumph, Scheffler is leading at the Masters. He followed a 3-under, first-round 69 with a second-round 67, giving him a five-shot lead entering the weekend at 8-under par.
Scheffler’s major-championship track record is impressive, with six top-20 finishes in his last six starts, including four in the top 10. Those two non-top-10 finishes were at the Masters, where he finished T19 and T18 in 2018 and ’19.
Conditions were brutal on Friday, with wind gusts getting as high as 30 mph. While most of the field suffered, some were able to thrive.
Former Masters champions Hideki Matsuyama and Charl Schwartzel shot 3-under 69s, as well, putting themselves three strokes behind Scheffler for the lead. Tied with them are first-round leader Sungjae Im and Shane Lowry.
The rounds of the day belonged to Scheffler and Justin Thomas, who got to 1-under for the tournament with a 67 after a rough first round.
Scheffler’s odds have gone down since the tournament began. He started the tournament at +1600 and went down to +750 after a 3-under first round saw him two back of the lead.
Then, he took the lead and grew it to five shots entering the weekend. That has him at +110 after two rounds, as of 7:30 p.m. ET on BetMGM.
Lowry and Matsuyama are next on the odds board at 12-1, along with 2020 Masters champion Dustin Johnson, who’s six behind Scheffler at 2-under. Cameron Smith (2-under) and Justin Thomas (1-under) are 14-1, while Im is 20-1.
In-Tournament Outright Pick
Collin Morikawa +2500
Jason Sobel: Among the many impressive aspects of Scottie Scheffler’s second-round 67 to grab a five-shot lead entering Masters weekend is that he single-handedly changed the outlook of this leaderboard, potentially eliminating dozens of players from contention.
Prior to the world’s No. 1-ranked player doing what’s become his usual birdie barrage on Friday afternoon, this one was wide open, with another day of impeding cooler weather and gusting winds keeping anyone from running away with it.
That was the theory, at least.
With Scheffler now at 8-under, though, and a 65 implausible in current conditions, with 67 serving as the best total through the first two days, it might be just as improbable that a player who’s 10 strokes off the pace can play catch-up to come from behind and beat him.
If we’re narrowing down the list of potential contenders to those at even-par or better, that leaves a field of just 18 players vying for the green jacket.
All of that information serves as the bad news for those bettors hoping to pick off a live outright play heading into the final two rounds.
It’s not all bad news, though.
Scheffler’s uncommonly low odds with two rounds to play leaves some palatable prices for every other player in contention, if indeed any of them can hunt him down.
I wouldn’t hate a play on Smith, who is a half-dozen shots back and only a few points shorter than he opened this week, or DJ (+1200), who certainly has the firepower to make birdies in bunches over the weekend.
If I’m making a non-Scheffler play, though, it might as well be one with a bigger number, so let’s take a shot on Morikawa, who enters the weekend seven strokes behind Scheffler.
A two-time major winner already in his young career, Morikawa ranks 12th so far this week in strokes gained tee to green, but perhaps more importantly, he’s gaining 1.78 strokes with his putter, which is often the problem club for him.
If scoring conditions remain tough and Morikawa’s irons remain solid, it’s entirely viable that he could post a pair of 68s and at least force Scheffler to post something in red numbers over the weekend in order to beat him.
Even that might not be enough, but in a marketplace without many current options if you’re not playing the leader at even-money, it offers an opportunity come Sunday evening.