2018 British Open: Paul Casey Is a Better DFS Play Than Bet

2018 British Open: Paul Casey Is a Better DFS Play Than Bet article feature image

Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Paul Casey

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. "Best odds value" and "Best matchup value" listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds. This isn't meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we're simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.

Paul Casey's British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $8,700 DraftKings, $11,000 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): N/A, T-47, T-74, MC, T-11

Odds: +4000 to win, +300 top-10 finish, +150 top-20 finish

Best Odds Value: +4000 to win

Best Matchup Value: Casey (-130) over Tyrrell Hatton

Tee Times: 5:20 a.m. ET (Thursday); 10:21 a.m. ET (Friday)

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The Outlook

On paper, Casey has everything we want at the Open Championship. His ability to gain strokes off the tee and with the approach will make him a popular play. For some reason, however, when it comes time to close on Sunday, Casey has a history of fading. If you want to back him, DFS is probably the area, but in the 33-1 betting range, it’s tough to see any value in banking on a victory.

The Metrics

Here's how Casey ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: 2nd
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-4th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 8th
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: 33rd
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 4th
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-24th

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

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