Will Webb Simpson’s Game Fit Shinnecock?

Credit:

Ray Carlin-USA TODAY Sports. Captioned: Webb Simpson

For analysis of the top 85 golfers in the field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics.


The Info: Webb Simpson

DFS Pricing: $7,700 DraftKings, $10,700 FanDuel

U.S. Open History (2013-2017): T-32, T-45, T-46, MC, T-35

Odds: +6600 to win, +500 top-10 finish, +250 top-20 finish, -350 to make cut, +250 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +250 top-20 finish

Best Matchup Value: Webb Simpson (-120) over Matt Kuchar

Tee Times: 1:25 p.m. (Thursday); 7:40 a.m. (Friday)

For more U.S. Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

I know that Simpson recently had a runaway victory at the Players Championship, but on paper, it does not look like his game is built to contend whatsoever at Shinnecock. He ranks near the bottom of the tour in total driving at 170th and falls 82nd in GIR percentage. Shinnecock is not the kind of course where you can get away with being neither long nor straight off the tee, and definitely not the kind of course where you can have success missing a lot of greens. While Simpson does have a U.S. Open victory under his belt, Olympic Club is nothing like what he will see on Long Island this week. I don’t see him being any kind of a factor at the U.S. Open this year.


The Metrics

Here’s how Simpson ranks in the U.S. Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: 15th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-15th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 25th
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: 101st
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 21st

Want more U.S. Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 85 best golfers in the field.

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