PGA TOUR Picks: Our Favorite Matchup Bets For The WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational
Sam Greenwood/Getty Images. Pictured: Rickie Fowler
- Our staff breaks down their top WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational picks ahead of Thursday's first round.
- Check out their four favorite golf matchups to bet, including Rickie Fowler over Jason Day.
The best golfers in the world will head to TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tenn. this week for the 2020 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational.
With just 78 players in the field and no cut to worry about, there should be plenty of interesting betting opportunities across the board this weekend. Oh, and there is some gnarly weather in the forecast.
Here are our favorite matchup bets for the 2020 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational:
Billy Horschel (+110) over Tony Finau
Fresh off yet another heartbreaker, Finau is obviously playing well right now, but at some point, another close call is going to take a mental toll on him.
Throw in the fact that he made an 11th hour caddie selection this week and (unlike most others in the field) didn’t get any time off before this daunting two-week stretch and Finau is a fade for me — especially against Horschel, whom I think is a very nice play.
A guy who so often feeds off momentum, he’s coming off finishes of T-13 and T-7 in his last two starts, so he’s trending in the right direction.
Patrick Reed (-110) over Hideki Matsuyama
Odds via the Westgate SuperBook
If I think Reed can win this week, I’ll definitely take a chance with him against Hideki.
Reed can provide trouble in the head-to-head markets because his game is so volatile, but Hideki really struggled with his ball-striking last time out and his well-known issues with the putter tend to get amplified on Bermuda. He’s had gained strokes with the putter on the surface since the Tour Championship last year.
Paul Casey (-118) over Jordan Spieth
I really like Casey this week. On the season, he is first in the world in Total Driving, which combines distance off the tee and accuracy. That will be important at this course, which isn’t super short and has water in play often.
His recent form is admittedly quite strange: Last week at the 3M Open, for example, he was great and long off the tee. He nailed a ton of greens. The ball-striking was supreme. The putting, though … boy was it awful.
Hopefully he’ll figure that out, because if he does he can definitely find himself in contention. Given course fit and those encouraging signs, I’ll buy him over Spieth this week.
Rickie Fowler (+100) over Jason Day
This is a bullish play on Fowler more than a bear play on his opponent in this matchup.
Give Jason Day credit for finishing top 10 at the Workday Charity Open and Memorial Tournament, both in his backyard at Muirfield Village. But if you draw a line through those tournaments, Day has not looked great recently.
Fowler is known for his ability to play well in the wind and, despite a missed cut at Memorial, showed some good signs at The Rocket Mortgage Classic and The Workday Charity Open.