Dodgers vs Mets Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - October 16, 2024

Dodgers at Mets

12:08 am • Fox Sports 1

Los Angeles Dodgers

4-2

8 - 0

New York Mets

2-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Severino			3.24	1-1
W.Buehler			3.60	1-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dodgers 4-2	-1.5	-1.5+150	o7.5-115	-115
Mets 2-4	u6.5	+1.5-180	u7.5-105	-105

Thursday 12:08 a.m.

October 17, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

Under 7.5-105

Under 8+100

0.5u

Projected 7.1; windy and cold. Opened 6.5 (-110) at FD. Bet to 7.5 (-108)

Under 8-115

0.29u

Bumping up the position at 8. Would decrease risk starting at -118 or 7.5 (+100)

L.Severino u4.5 Ks+110

0.11u

NYM -104

0.52u

Bet to -105

NYM -105

1.05u

CamisTrash

NYM -110 (F5)

1.1u

M.Muncy o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+105

1.05u

W.Buehler o4.5 Hits Allowed-105

0.53u

L.Severino o15.5 Outs-105

0.53u

P.Alonso o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+110

0.45u

F.Freeman o0.5 RBI+190

0.26u

F.Lindor o1.5 Total Bases+110

$3.00

Over 7.5-110

$1.00

NYM -108

Under 7.5-108

0.54u

W.Buehler u14.5 Outs+100

0.5u

L.Severino u4.5 Ks+110

0.55u

Under 8-115

Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Despite strong offenses, pitching and bullpen strength point to a low-scoring game. Buehler, despite recent struggles, can bounce back, while Severino has been more effective at home. Both bullpens are solid, and recent trends favor the under, especially in Mets' home games. Expect a tight, low-scoring matchup.

S.Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases+104

1.04u

Run it back - dude has cost me coin all playoffs we still ride

LAD -103

Collab w/ @JakeMLB41 (8-2 YTD)

Over 7.5-105

Over 7.5-102

1.47u

NYM -108

1.5u

LAD -110

2.73u

NYM -102

1.02u

W.Buehler u3.5 Ks+120

0.83u

Over 4.5 (F5)+102

0.75u

P.Alonso o0.5 HR+380

0.5u

P.Alonso o0.5 Hits-157

1.6u

LAD -112

1.5u

NYM +1.5-178

#ProSystem Fade public and take the home team (Postseason) Overall: 83-45-0,65% (ROI:24%) Season:1-1-0,50% (ROI:-20%)

NYM -104

#ProSystem Fade the public in playoffs Overall: 112-59-0,65% (ROI:35%) Season:2-1-0,67% (ROI:43%)

NYM -105

1.05u

Under 7.5-105

1.05u

LAD -102

0.98u

T.Hernandez o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+110

W.Buehler u1.5 BB+115

S.Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases+102

1.02u

S.Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases+100

Over 7.5-115

LAD -110

0.91u

LAD -112

$100.00

W.Buehler u1.5 BB+115

Under 7.5 (Live)+110

Bottom 8

LAD -114

2.63u

Under 4.5 (F5)-130

0.77u

@shanley10

Over 7.5-110

The #Dodgers don’t do any favours for Walker Buehler. To the contrary, the #Dodgers are very capable of scoring runs on #Yankess P Luis Severino. I can see this line closing at 8 runs closer to game time.

S.Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases+104

1.04u

Sandy

NYM o3.5 Team Total-113

1.13u

Avery

LAD -103

Sandy

M.Vientos To Record 2+ Total Bases Yes+145

Johnny

W.Buehler u1.5 BB+132

0.87u

Johnny

Over 7.5-110

0.91u

Featured Insight
The Dodgers have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- tied for third lowest in MLB (192 games). The Mets have scored just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- third lowest in MLB (200 games).

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Featured Insight
Mets hitters a groundball rate of 51% over the last week -- tied for second highest in MLB. Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% against Dodgers over the last week -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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The Dodgers are 96-53 (.644) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .538.

Freddie Freeman is slugging .525 since last season -- 12th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Luis Severino has allowed a SLG of .499 vs left-handed batters since last season -- sixth worst among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP-- fourth Percentile.

Mookie Betts has an OPS of 1.090 with RISP since last season -- third best in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Luis Severino has allowed an OPS of .848 (269 PAs) with RISP since last season -- fourth worst among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP-- fourth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 38-43 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	72-90	34-47	38-43	35-51	37-39
Dodgers	70-92	31-50	39-42	68-87	2-5

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	77-77-8	37-38-6	40-39-2	39-42-5	38-35-3
Dodgers	72-88-2	37-43-1	35-45-1	69-84-2	3-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	74-88	36-45	38-43	44-42	30-46
Dodgers	3-5	51-30	49-32	98-57	2-5

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 14th	@LAD	W 7-3	+1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM +130
Oct 14th	@LAD	L 0-9	+1.5 L	O 8	LAD +136
Oct 9th	PHI	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 8	NYM -121
Oct 8th	PHI	W 7-2	+1.5 W	O 7	NYM -106
Oct 6th	@PHI	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 8.5	PHI +120

Bobby Miller
SP
Miller is out with shoulder
Out
Gavin Stone
SP
Stone is out with shoulder
Out
Dalton Rushing
C
Dalton Rushing scratched Sunday.
Out

Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RW.Buehler, P	90	4	6
RM.Kopech, P	12	1	1
RR.Brasier, P	20	1	1
RB.Treinen, P	11	1	2
RB.Casparius, P	31	2	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Ohtani, DH	1-4	1	1	3
2M.Betts, RF	1-4	0	0	0
3F.Freeman, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
3K.Kiermaier, CF	0-0	0	0	0
4M.Muncy, 3B	2-2	2	1	1
4M.Muncy, 1B	2-2	2	1	1
5T.Hernandez, LF	0-5	1	0	0
6G.Lux, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
6C.Taylor, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
7W.Smith, C	2-4	1	0	1
8T.Edman, SS	1-4	1	0	1
9E.Hernandez, CF	2-5	2	1	2
9E.Hernandez, 3B	2-5	2	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	95	4.2	3	0
RR.Garrett, P	20	1.1	2	2
RT.Megill, P	72	3	3	4

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2M.Vientos, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
3B.Nimmo, LF	1-3	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5S.Marte, RF	1-3	0	0	0
6J.Martinez, DH	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Iglesias, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
8T.Taylor, CF	0-1	0	0	0
8J.McNeil, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8H.Bader, CF	0-1	0	0	0
9F.Alvarez, C	0-3	0	0	0