Red Sox vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - June 9, 2026

Red Sox at Rays

10:40 pm • NESN

Boston Red Sox

Tampa Bay Rays

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Martinez			2.29	5-2
P.Tolle			2.28	3-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 27-37	-1.5	-1.5+145	o7.5+100	-120
Rays 38-25	u7.5	+1.5-175	u7.5-120	-101

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

June 09, 2026

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

BOS -113

1.13u

W.Abreu o0.5 HR+650

0.25u

There may be some value on Wilyer Abreu's home runs prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 0.20 home runs, and oddsmakers are implying 0.15. The model believes there is a 17% chance he records at least 1 home run, so there is value on the over at +650. This play is good down to at least +530. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=inf8qq%22%3EEV Analytics!

C.Mullins o0.5 HR+1060

0.25u

THE BAT X is forecasting 0.12 home runs for Cedric Mullins. Oddsmakers are implying 0.09 home runs, so I believe there is value here. If you take the over, you'd be projected to win 11% of the time resulting in a 29% ROI with expected value of $29.46 (based on a $100 wager). This play is good down to at least +886. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

P.Tolle u5.5 Ks-111

0.56u

P.Tolle u5.5 Ks-107

1.07u

J.Caminero o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115

$1.15

BOS -110

BOS -105

1.05u

(DK) Tolle 3.45 SIERA/2.31 xERA/3.25 Bot ERA, Martinez 4.63/4.53/3.65 - Comparable offenses - BOS proj. LU 28 FRV edge - BOS pen estimators over a run and a third better L30 days.

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 15-17 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 14 of Rays' 31 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	36-27	21-10	15-17	22-17	14-10
Red Sox	26-38	10-21	16-17	15-25	10-13

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	30-31-2	14-16-1	16-15-1	20-17-2	10-14
Red Sox	28-33-3	10-19-2	18-14-1	17-21-2	11-11-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	38-25	22-9	16-16	24-15	14-10
Red Sox	27-37	10-21	17-16	17-23	9-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 8th	BOS	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 8	TB -110
Jun 7th	@MIA	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	MIA -109
Jun 6th	@MIA	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	MIA -132
Jun 5th	@MIA	W 6-0	-1.5 W	U 8	TB -133
Jun 3rd	DET	L 2-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	DET -142

Gavin Lux
LF
Lux is out with shoulder
Out
Michael Grove
RP
Grove is out with shoulder
Out

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Triston Casas
1B
Casas is out with knee
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with wrist
Out
Romy Gonzalez
1B
Gonzalez is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		W-L	ERA	WHIP	K/9
LP.Tolle, P		3-2	2.28	0.972	9.70

HITTERS	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR
1J.Duran, LF	.208	.270	.388	10
2C.Rafaela, CF	.286	.346	.429	5
3W.Abreu, RF	.278	.339	.420	7
4W.Contreras, 1B	.294	.389	.532	13
5M.Yoshida, DH	.244	.338	.333	1
6M.Gasper, C	.300	.342	.371	0
7C.Durbin, 3B	.190	.254	.288	1
8I.Kiner-Falefa, 2B	.258	.317	.323	1
9M.Mayer, SS	.222	.281	.311	3

PITCHER		W-L	ERA	WHIP	K/9
RN.Martinez, P		5-2	2.29	1.189	5.35

HITTERS	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR
1Y.Diaz, DH	.325	.399	.537	12
2J.Caminero, 3B	.277	.378	.496	14
3C.Simpson, LF	.276	.312	.328	0
4R.Vilade, 1B	.290	.358	.452	3
5A.Slater, RF	.333	.333	.333	0
6C.Mullins, CF	.185	.276	.296	5
7B.Williamson, SS	.256	.340	.316	0
8N.Fortes, C	.242	.283	.309	1
9R.Palacios, 2B	.237	.348	.321	1