The Texas Rangers host the Athletics on July 22, 2025. First pitch from Globe Life Field is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on NBCS-CA.
The Rangers took the first game of this series and will send their ace, Jacob deGrom, to the mound tonight. J.T. Ginn will oppose him for the A's.
Find my MLB betting preview and Athletics vs Rangers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Athletics vs Rangers Prediction
- Athletics vs Rangers picks: Under 7.5 (-105, DraftKings)
My Athletics vs Rangers best bet is Under 7.5. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Athletics vs Rangers Odds
| Athletics Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -112 | 7.5 -115o / -105u | +196 |
| Rangers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -108 | 7.5 -115o / -105u | -240 |
Athletics vs Rangers Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP J.T. Ginn (ATH) | Stat | RHP Jacob deGrom (TEX) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | W-L | 9-2 |
| 0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.6 |
| 4.91 / 3.64 | ERA / xERA | 2.32 / 2.99 |
| 4.76 / 2.87 | FIP / xFIP | 3.28 / 3.27 |
| 1.30 | WHIP | 0.91 |
| 22.7 | K-BB% | 20.6 |
| 51.7 | GB% | 42.1 |
| 101 | Stuff+ | 109 |
| 106 | Location+ | 109 |
Athletics vs Rangers Preview
With the exception of a rough outing in April, Jacob deGrom has been his usual dominant self this season. The two-time Cy Young winner has a 2.08 ERA over his past 15 starts and is even better when he pitches at home, with a 1.95 ERA.
The Athletics offense had underperformed recently, with only two runs per game in their last two contests, and it doesn't look like facing deGrom is a good chance to rebound.
Opposing the Texas ace will be J.T. Ginn, who is due for positive regression given the huge margin between his expected numbers —2.99 xERA, 3.27xFIP— and his current stats.
The Rangers offense sits at the 25th spot in wRC+ this season (88), 27th in average (.230) and 26th in slugging (.373).
Plus, Globe Life Field ranks 22nd in run production among all MLB stadiums in Baseball Savant's Park Factors.
This aligns with Our Bet Labs' recommendation to play the under in this game.
Athletics vs Rangers Prediction, Betting Analysis
This MLB first five innings system, titled "Low Total Unders with Line Movement (F5)," is built around early-game environments where oddsmakers and sharp bettors anticipate limited scoring.
The foundation starts with a low closing total —between 3.5 and 6.5— indicating a strong pitcher’s duel or poor hitting conditions. If the full game total has moved down between half a run and one run from open to close, it signals smart money pushing the market toward the under.
The model further refines this edge by requiring the juice on the under to remain within a sharp range, typically between -149 and -120, avoiding inflated pricing that could distort value.
Games played in modest wind conditions —between four and nine miles per hour— are included, as they often suppress offense without triggering dramatic public reaction.
By isolating games across the past three seasons and targeting first-half unders in tightly lined, downward-trending markets, this system captures value where the market signals defensive control without overreaction.
Pick: Under 7.5 (-105, DraftKings)
