The Atlanta Braves (45-60) and Kansas City Royals (52-55) will face off in the MLB tonight. First pitch from Kauffman Stadium is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. The game will broadcast live on FDSKC.
Kansas City is a -130 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Atlanta is +110 to pull off the upset. The over/under is set at 9.5 total runs.
Continue below for my Braves vs Royals predictions and MLB picks for Tuesday, July 29, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
Braves vs Royals Picks, Prediction
- Braves vs Royals pick: Braves Moneyline (+110)
My Royals vs. Braves best bet is on Atlanta moneyline, with the best line currently available at bet365. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Braves vs Royals Odds
| Braves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -190 | 9.5 -105o / -115u | +110 |
| Royals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +160 | 9.5 -105o / -115u | -130 |
Braves vs Royals Projected Starting Pitchers
| Erick Fedde (ATL) | Stat | Seth Lugo (KC) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-10 | W-L | 7-5 |
| 0.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.2 |
| 5.22 / 5.80 | ERA /xERA | 2.95 / 4.56 |
| 5.09 / 5.27 | FIP / xFIP | 4.27 / 4.07 |
| 1.50 | WHIP | 1.09 |
| 3.6 | K-BB% | 14.6 |
| 39.2 | GB% | 39.4 |
| 91 | Stuff+ | 95 |
| 104 | Location+ | 96 |
Atlanta Braves vs Kansas City Royals MLB Preview
Atlanta won Game 1 of this three-game set by a score of 10-7 yesterday, and now the Braves are sending Erick Fedde to the hill against Seth Lugo of the Royals tonight.
That's not exactly good news for the Braves, as Fedde is 3-10 on the season with an ERA over five (5.22).
Meanwhile, Lugo is 7-5 with an ERA under 3.00. But that's not preventing us from taking the Braves on the moneyline based on a key system.
In interleague matchups early in a series, road underdogs often hold unseen advantages, and that's what this "Road Dogs Interleague" system is focused on, according to betting expert Evan Abrams.
These games introduce travel and scouting uncertainty, and early games feature lineups and matchups unfamiliar to bettors and models.
Public perception tends to lean too heavily on home-field advantage.
Interleague games introduce more unpredictability due to differences in lineup construction and unfamiliar opposing pitchers.
When combined with road 'dog pricing, it creates exploitable inefficiencies in early matchups.
Braves vs Royals Best Bet
- Braves ML (+110)
Braves vs Royals Betting Trends
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