The Miami Marlins host the Atlanta Braves on May 21, 2026. First pitch from loanDepot park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on MIAM.
The Braves are favored by -145 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Marlins are +118 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Braves vs Marlins prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Braves vs Marlins Prediction
- Braves vs Marlins Pick: Marlins F5 ML (+118)
My Braves vs Marlins best bet is on Miami to lead after five innings. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Braves vs Marlins Odds
| Braves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +120 | 7.5 -118o / -102u | -145 |
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -145 | 7.5 -118o / -102u | +118 |
- Braves vs Marlins moneyline: Braves -145, Marlins +118
- Braves vs Marlins over/under: 8 (-118o / -102u)
- Braves vs Marlins spread: Braves -1.5 (+120), Marlins +1.5 (-145)
Braves vs Marlins Probable Pitchers
| RHP Spencer Strider (ATL) | Stat | RHP Sandy Alcantara (MIA) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | W-L | 3-2 |
| 0.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.3 |
| 2.45 / 2.88 | ERA / xERA | 3.53 / 3.31 |
| 3.59 / 4.14 | FIP / xFIP | 3.50 / 4.16 |
| 13.8 | K-BB% | 9.4 |
| 33.3 | GB% | 49.0 |
| .241 | BABIP | .284 |
| 94 | Stuff+ | 100 |
| 91 | Location+ | 103 |
Braves vs Marlins MLB Betting Preview
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Braves (34-16) have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games, looking to take three of four in a road series vs. the Marlins. After getting shut out in the first game of this series, the Braves have put up 17 runs in the last two games.
They're sending out Spencer Strider tonight, who has allowed a combined one earned run in his last two starts, spanning 11.1 innings. This includes a dominant outing vs. the Dodgers, where he pitched six scoreless innings, allowing one hit and racking up eight strikeouts.
The Braves' bullpen is completely fresh after Chris Sale went seven innings and Victor Mederos pitched the remaining two frames.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Marlins (22-28) have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games, looking to salvage the split vs. the Braves. After exploding for 12 runs in the series opener, they've scored a combined five runs in the last two games.
Sandy Alcantara takes the mound tonight. The veteran right-hander has found a rhythm, giving up only three earned runs in his last two starts, spanning 12 innings.
Miami's bullpen is relatively fresh for this game, as Pete Fairbanks, Anthony Bender and Calvin Faucher each didn't pitch last night.
Braves vs Marlins Pick, Betting Analysis
Despite the Braves being the much better team, we're getting some value on the Marlins in this spot.
Miami has been much better at home (15-14) than on the road (7-14). Alcantara has been their most consistent pitcher this season, despite the lack of strikeouts, as highlighted by a 3.31 xERA.
It's also worth noting that Alcantara has been better at home (2.95 ERA, .259 wOBA allowed) than on the road (4.50 ERA, .354 wOBA allowed).
While Strider has been good in his last two starts, we've seen him struggle with command (17.2% walk rate). He's also unlikely to pitch more than six innings in this start.
I'm going to stick to the first five innings to avoid potentially dealing with the Braves' high-leverage relievers like Robert Suarez and Raisel Iglesias later in the game.
I'll ride with the Marlins to have a lead after five.
Pick: Marlins F5 ML (+118, BetMGM)
