The Texas Rangers host the Baltimore Orioles on August 7, 2026. First pitch from Globe Life Field is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on Apple TV+.
The Rangers are favored by -155 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Orioles are +125 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Orioles vs Rangers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Orioles vs Rangers Prediction
- Orioles vs Rangers Pick: Under 7.5 (-118)
My Orioles vs Rangers best bet is Under 7.5 total runs tonight. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Orioles vs Rangers Odds
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -180 | 7.5 -102o / -118u | +125 |
| Rangers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +145 | 7.5 -102o / -118u | -155 |
- Orioles vs Rangers moneyline: Orioles +125, Rangers -155
- Orioles vs Rangers over/under: 7.5 (-102o / -118u)
- Orioles vs Rangers spread: Orioles +1.5 (-180), Rangers -1.5 (+145)
Orioles vs Rangers Probable Pitchers
| Shane Baz (RHP, BAL) | Stat | Nathan Eovaldi (RHP, TEX) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-10 | W-L | 10-9 |
| 2.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.4 |
| 3.86 / 4.30 | ERA / xERA | 4.31 / 4.12 |
| 3.40 / 4.20 | FIP / xFIP | 4.30 / 3.27 |
| 12.0 | K-BB% | 19.7 |
| 39.3 | GB% | 49.9 |
| .319 | BABIP | .297 |
| 98 | Stuff+ | 96 |
| 102 | Location+ | 107 |
Orioles vs Rangers MLB Betting Preview
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
After taking two of three from the cellar-dwelling Angels to begin the week, the Orioles enter this pivotal series just one game behind the Rangers for the final AL Wild Card spot. They have gone 17-11 since July 1st, giving themselves a legitimate chance to salvage what has otherwise been an underwhelming season, though they shift their focus toward the future by trading away Adley Rutschman at the deadline.
Though the Orioles have been finding results where it counts of late, since June 1st they have hit to a wRC+ of 94 versus right-handed pitching and have struck out 24.5% of the time in that span.
Rutschman has slugged .462 versus righties this season, so his loss does hurt in that regard, specifically for the time being with Samuel Basallo out of the lineup.
After a poor start to the season, Shane Baz has been in much better form of late, as he has pitched to an ERA of 3.23 with an xFIP of 3.94 throughout his last 64 innings of work. He also holds a strong Pitching+ rating of 103 in that span, and has been barrelled just 4% of the time.
Orioles relievers have been effective of late, as over the last 30 days they have pitched to an ERA of 3.24 and rank 12th in Pitching+.
Texas Rangers Betting Preview
Rangers starter Nathan Eovaldi has allowed opponents to hit .279 with runners in scoring position at Globe Life Field this season, preventing the veteran right-hander from fully capitalizing on one of MLB's most pitcher-friendly environments.
If he can clean up those struggles with men on base, his numbers will improve. However, Eovaldi's 2.77 xFIP, 1.03 WHIP, and 23.8% strikeout-minus-walk rate indicate he has been more effective than his ERA suggests.
Eovaldi also holds an xFIP of 3.02 and an xERA of 3.82 throughout his last 10 starts, and a Pitching+ rating of 104.
The Rangers have not been overly productive versus righties of late; since June 1st, they rank 18th with a wRC+ of 99. They also rank 23rd in BB/K ratio in that span and 18th in weighted on-base average and 25th in expected weighted on-base average this season.
Orioles vs Rangers Pick, Betting Analysis
Though it may not feel like it with both teams sitting below .500, this series carries significant playoff implications, and the opener has the makings of a tightly contested matchup.
Though Eovaldi has not found much success at Globe Life this season, he's thrived there throughout most of his tenure with the Rangers and holds very convincing underlying numbers at home this season.
After a poor start to the season, Baz has been in much better form of late and is looking more like the pitcher we saw earlier in his career with the Rays.
At -118, there looks to be value in backing this matchup to feature under 7.5 total runs.
Pick: Under 7.5 Runs (-118, BetMGM | Play to -120)
