The Detroit Tigers host the Boston Red Sox on May 6, 2026. First pitch from Comerica Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on NESN.
The Red Sox are favored by -119 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Tigers are -101 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Red Sox vs Tigers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Red Sox vs Tigers Prediction
- Red Sox vs Tigers Pick: Trevor Story Over 0.5 Hits
My Red Sox vs Tigers best bet is on Story to record 1+ hits. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Red Sox vs Tigers Odds
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -189 | 8.5 -105o / -116u | -101 |
| Tigers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +165 | 8.5 -105o / -116u | -119 |
- Red Sox vs Tigers moneyline: Red Sox -101, Tigers -119
- Red Sox vs Tigers over/under: 8.5 (-105o / -116u)
- Red Sox vs Tigers spread: Red Sox -1.5 (+165), Tigers +1.5 (-189)
Red Sox vs Tigers Probable Pitchers
| Sonny Gray | Stat | Jack Flaherty |
|---|---|---|
| 15-21 | W-L | 18-19 |
| 0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.1 |
| 4.30 / 5.66 | ERA / xERA | 5.90 / 5.34 |
| 4.49 / 4.22 | FIP / xFIP | 6.18 / 5.90 |
| 8.1 | K-BB% | 5 |
| 53.8 | GB% | 31.2 |
| .286 | BABIP | .293 |
| 100 | Stuff+ | 98 |
| 97 | Location+ | 87 |
Red Sox vs Tigers MLB Betting Preview
Action PRO projects Red Sox shortstop Trevor Story for 1.22 hits, giving us a solid 9% edge against the market when compared to his current prop line of over/under 0.5, which is good enough to tag the Over with a B- grade in our system.
Red Sox vs Tigers Pick, Betting Analysis
Story has quietly been one of the steadiest bats in Boston’s lineup to begin the season, recording 29 hits so far while consistently putting the ball in play. He comes into this matchup in excellent form, having cleared this line in each of his last five games.
The longer sample is just as encouraging. Story has gone over this number in eight of his last 10 games, showing a level of consistency that stands out for a prop set at only 0.5 hits.
Pick: Trevor Story Over 0.5 Hits
