The Colorado Rockies (27-78) and Cleveland Guardians (52-53) will face off in the MLB tonight. First pitch from Progressive Field is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. The game will broadcast live on CLEG.
Cleveland is a -283 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Colorado is +225 to pull off the upset. The over/under is set at 9 total runs.
Continue below for my Rockies vs Guardians predictions and MLB picks for Monday, July 28, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
Rockies vs Guardians Picks, Prediction
- Rockies vs Guardians pick: Under 9 Runs (-120)
My Guardians vs. Rockies best bet is on the under, with the best line currently available at DraftKings. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rockies vs Guardians Odds for Monday, July 28
| Rockies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +115 | 9 +100o / -120u | +225 |
| Guardians Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -136 | 9 +100o / -120u | -283 |
Rockies vs Guardians Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Bradley Blalock (COL) | Stat | RHP Slade Cecconi (CLE) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | W-L | 5-4 |
| -0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.3 |
| 8.67 / 6.06 | ERA / xERA | 3.76 / 4.86 |
| 6.31 / 5.35 | FIP / xFIP | 4.56 / 4.07 |
| 1.78 | WHIP | 1.23 |
| 1.6 | K-BB% | 13.9 |
| 43.8 | GB% | 40.4 |
| 91 | Stuff+ | 93 |
| 98 | Location+ | 105 |
Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians MLB Preview
The Rockies only produced one run total in their last two games and have scored two or fewer in four out of their past seven.
This is the worst offense in MLB, with a 75 wRC+ this season.
Away from Coors Field, they hit a collective .206 average (also worst in baseball).
July has not been much different for them, as they rank 28th this month with an 87 wRC+, barely ahead of the Tigers and Pirates.
Cleveland starter Slade Cecconi should not have too much trouble against this Colorado lineup.
He has a 3.48 ERA over his last seven starts and is coming off a solid outing against the Orioles, allowing two runs and five hits in six innings.
The Guardians are also one of the worst run-producing teams in the majors.
They rank 26th in wRC+ (88) and 28th in slugging (.373) in 2025, so going with the under to start this series is a really good choice.
That is the recommendation of Bet Labs, using the Public Fades Humidity = Unders system.
This system capitalizes on an overlooked weather edge in MLB totals betting.
It focuses on regular-season games where elevated humidity — ranging from 45 to 95 — intersects with moderate temperatures and neutral wind patterns.
Despite assumptions that humidity boosts offense, public bettors are fading these conditions, which actually correlate with suppressed scoring in certain environments.
In these spots, the home team has stayed under in recent games, with their five-game over rate sitting below 40, suggesting low offensive rhythm.
The market has also subtly corrected, with the total dropping from open to close, and the overall percentage of bets on the over remains modest, between 6 and 29.
These indicators combine to identify under-the-radar under spots where public narratives misalign with actual scoring trends.
Rockies vs Guardians Best Bet
- Under 9 (-120)
Rockies vs Guardians Betting Trends
For the latest on MLB injuries, be sure to check out our MLB Injury Report page.
