Guardians vs Cubs Prediction, Pick, Odds for Thursday, July 3

Guardians vs Cubs Prediction, Pick, Odds for Thursday, July 3 article feature image
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Pictured: Cade Horton. (Credit: Maria Lysaker-Imagn Images)

The Chicago Cubs (51-35) host the Cleveland Guardians (40-44) on July 3, 2025. First pitch from Wrigley Field is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. EDT; the game will broadcast on CLEG.

Find my MLB betting preview and Guardians vs Cubs prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.

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My Guardians vs Cubs Prediction

  • Guardians vs Cubs pick: Under 8.5 (-102)

My Guardians vs Cubs best bet is under 8.5 total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Guardians vs Cubs Odds

Guardians Logo
Thursday, Jul 3
8:05 p.m. ET
CLEG
Cubs Logo
Guardians Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-175
8.5
-118o / -102u
+125
Cubs Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+145
8.5
-118o / -102u
-150
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
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Guardians vs Cubs Pick, Best Bets

The Guardians (+125 Moneyline) face the Cubs (-150) in the series finale Thursday at Wrigley Field, where the total is set at 8.5 runs and Chicago is favored by 1.5 on the run line.

The Cubs have taken the first two games, winning 5-2 and 5-4, thanks in part to strong showings from their All-Star duo, Kyle Tucker and Pete Crow-Armstrong, who combined for three hits and two stolen bases on Wednesday. The Cubs remain atop the NL Central and look to complete the sweep tonight at home.

Cade Horton will get the start for Chicago. Horton owns a 3.38 ERA over four home starts this season. For Cleveland, Joey Cantillo will take the mound after Luis Ortiz was placed on leave earlier today.

But the real angle here is the under, supported by the PRO: Wrigley Field Unders system. This tool focuses exclusively on Cubs home games, where wind conditions — particularly wind blowing in or across the field — create a significant edge for under bettors.

Wrigley Field’s open design and unique orientation makes it the most wind-sensitive ballpark in baseball, and totals that open between 8 and 13 have shown consistent value when weather suppresses scoring.

Today’s conditions fall directly into this system's strike zone, with wind blowing in and an opening total of 8.5. Historically, these games hit the under at a high clip.

Pick: Under 8.5 (-102)

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