The New York Mets host the Houston Astros on August 28, 2026. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNY.
The Astros are favored by -130 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Mets are +108 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Astros vs Mets prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Astros vs Mets Prediction
- Astros vs Mets Pick: Over 8 (-103)
My Astros vs Mets best bet is on the over total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Astros vs Mets Odds
| Astros Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +130 | 8 -103o / -117u | -130 |
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -157 | 8 -103o / -117u | +108 |
- Astros vs Mets moneyline: Astros -130, Mets +108
- Astros vs Mets over/under: 8 (-103o / -117u)
- Astros vs Mets spread: Astros -1.5 (+130), Mets +1.5 (-157)
Astros vs Mets Probable Pitchers
| Hunter Brown (RHP, HOU) | Stat | Christian Scott (RHP, NYM) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-3 | W-L | 4-3 |
| 0.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.7 |
| 3.51/3.78 | ERA / xERA | 3.73/3.97 |
| 4.69/4.11 | FIP / xFIP | 3.67/3.83 |
| 10.5% | K-BB% | 18.5% |
| 55.8% | GB% | 31.7% |
| .253 | BABIP | .312 |
| 104 | Stuff+ | 107 |
| 94 | Location+ | 99 |
Astros vs Mets MLB Betting Preview
Houston Astros Betting Preview
Hunter Brown has not been Hunter Brown since returning from his shoulder injury. He has a 3.96 ERA, backed by a 4.17 xERA, 5.20 FIP, and 4.39 xFIP since his June 16 return.
Through his past three starts against the Athletics, Mariners, and Giants, he has a 3.45 ERA, backed by a 4.65 xERA, 6.02 FIP, and 4.78 xFIP. Hunter Brown is a mediocre SP this season, being carried by luck.
New York Mets Betting Preview
Meanwhile, Christian Scott is experiencing a quiet breakout season. His 3.73 ERA is backed by quality peripherals all below 4.00. He also has a better home ERA (3.38) than on the road (3.98).
However, he has a putrid 6.30 ERA in August. This ERA is inflated by bad luck, but he is potentially declining as the season closes after missing all of 2025. Scott has pitched 103 innings this year and may be gassed.
Astros vs Mets Pick, Betting Analysis
The Astros have the 8th-best offense in the past month (105 wRC+), while the Mets have the 15th-best (100 wRC+).
Also, the Astros may be without their top-two left-handed relievers, Josh Hader and Steven Okert, as both have pitched three times in the past five days.
New York is finally looking respectable, even without star OF Juan Soto. The return of Francisco Lindor and Luis Robert Jr. rejuvenated this formerly stagnant offense, making an over in today's matchup viable.
Pick: Over 8 (-103)
