The Washington Nationals host the Miami Marlins on August 28, 2026. First pitch from Nationals Park is scheduled for 6:45 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on NATS.
The Marlins are favored by -151 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Nationals are +132 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Marlins vs Nationals prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Marlins vs Nationals Prediction
- Marlins vs Nationals Pick: Eury Perez Under 17.5 Outs Recorded (-109 or Better)
My Marlins vs Nationals best bet is Eury Perez to stay under his outs prop. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Marlins vs Nationals Odds
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +108 | 8.5 -100o / -122u | -150 |
| Nationals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -130 | 8.5 -100o / -122u | +140 |
- Marlins vs Nationals moneyline: Marlins -151, Nationals +132
- Marlins vs Nationals over/under: 8.5 (-100o / -120u)
- Marlins vs Nationals spread: Marlins -1.5 (+110), Nationals +1.5 (-132)
Marlins vs Nationals Probable Pitchers
| Eury Perez (RHP) | Stat | Jackson Kent (LHP) |
|---|---|---|
| 7-9 | W-L | 0-2 |
| 2.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.1 |
| 3.17/3.65 | ERA / xERA | 8.03/6.07 |
| 3.67/3.94 | FIP / xFIP | 4.54/4.59 |
| 16.5 | K-BB% | 4.9 |
| 39.4 | GB% | 50 |
| .252 | BABIP | .400 |
| 115 | Stuff+ | 86 |
| 93 | Location+ | 95 |
Marlins vs Nationals MLB Betting Preview
By Derek Carty
Editor's Note: This written best bet is a transcription from the latest episode of the Payoff Pitch podcast.
I'm fading Eury Pérez tonight, taking the under on 17.5 outs recorded. The best number on the board is +126 at DraftKings, and willing to play it at considerably shorter odds than that.
The foundation of the bet is a gap between perception and projection. Pérez arrives with the reputation of a young, electric arm, and the market prices him accordingly.
The BatX stuff model doesn't share the enthusiasm. It grades his arsenal as merely okay, and specifically not the same weapon it was before his surgery. That disconnect has made Pérez a repeat fade target in recent weeks, and the results have justified it.
Two situational factors reinforce the play. The move to Washington is a park downgrade for Pérez. And while the Nationals' offense is no longer the unit that surprised people earlier in the season, it retains enough life to work counts and push his pitch total high enough to end the night before the sixth inning is out.
Pick: Eury Perez Under 17.5 Outs Recorded (-109 or Better)
