The pressure intensifies as the calendar turns to August, and several teams in action today are fighting for playoff positioning.
There are 13 games on the calendar for Monday, August 4, and our MLB betting experts have already looked over the latest MLB odds. After analyzing those odds, they've come away with their MLB picks and predictions for today's contests.
So, let's pick some winners. Today's MLB best bets are below.
MLB Best Bets Today
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 7:10 p.m. | |
  | 7:15 p.m. | |
  | 8:05 p.m. | |
  | 9:40 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Derek Carty's Guardians vs Mets Pick: Alonso Showing Value
By Derek Carty
THE BAT X is forecasting 0.32 home runs for Pete Alonso. Oddsmakers are implying 0.26 home runs, so I believe there is value. If you take the over, you’d be projected to win 27% of the time, resulting in a 23% ROI with expected value of $23.44 (based on a $100 wager).
Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics!
Pick: Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs (+350)
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Charlie Wright's Brewers vs Braves Best Bet: Fade Fedde, Back Milwaukee
If teams are going to keep throwing Erick Fedde out there, I'm going to keep fading him. However, this time we have an added bonus as I also want to back Milwaukee's offense.
The Brewers just put up 58 runs in a six-game week. While they did hang 38 of those runs on the Nationals' hapless pitching staff, they also put up 20 in a crucial three-game series against the Cubs. This offense is obscenely hot right now and the longer sample is also promising. Milwaukee has been a top-five unit by wRC+ against right-handed pitching since the start of July.
Pick: Brewers First 5 Innings Over 2.5 Team Total (+105)
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