MLB Playoffs Odds, Picks | NRFI Best Bets For Tuesday, October 11
Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images. Pictured: Mike Clevinger
Shayne Trail breaks down his favorite NRFI/YRFI bet of the day below, but you can follow all of his bets in the Action Network app.
| Matchup | R. Suarez (Phillies) vs. M. Fried (Braves) |
| First Pitch | 1:07 p.m. ET |
After beating the Cardinals in the wildcard. The Phillies will send out Ranger Suarez, the third pitcher in the rotation who is 21-7 to the NRFI with a 12-3 road NRFI split.
Suarez's most notable matchups today are Dansby Swanson, who is 2-for-18, and Matt Olson, who is 3- for-11.
The Atlanta Braves will counter with their ace and Max Fried, who is 28-2 to the NRFI with an impressive 16-2 home NRFI split. Fried's most noteworthy matchups today will be against Rhys Hoskins who is 5-for-29, and Kyle Schwarber, who is 3-for-18.
This game has a price tag of (-136) to NRFI over on FanDuel and I believe that has sneaky value. The Phillies unexpectedly are on the worst teams on the road when it comes to first-inning runs this season.
Pick: NRFI -136 (FanDuel)
| Matchup | L. Gilbert (Mariners) vs. J. Verlander (Astros) |
| First Pitch | 3:37 p.m. ET |
The Mariners will send out Logan Gilbert, who is 26-6 to the NRFI with a 14-4 road NRFI split. Gilbert's most of the notable matchups today are against leadoff hitter José Altuve, who is 8-for-19, and Yordan Álvarez, who is 5-for-17.
The Astros' veteran ace Justin Verlander will toe the rubber today. Verlander is by far the best NRFI pitcher on today’s slate. He is 25–1 to the NRFI with a perfect 13-0 home and NRFI split.
Verlander’s most important matchups will be against Eugenio Suarez, who’s 2-for-20, and Mitch Haniger, who is 3-for16.
Despite getting a Verlander NRFI at only (-150) over on FaDuel. It's hard to ignore those awful batters vs pitcher stats for Gilbert. The Astros have Gilbert's number and with that, lean YRFI.
Lean: YRFI +116 (FanDuel)
| Matchup | C. Quantrill (Guardians) vs. G. Cole (Yankees) |
| First Pitch | 7:37 p.m. ET |
After winning the Wild Card Round series 2-0 against the Rays, the Guardians will send out Cal Quantrill, their third starter in the rotation, who is 27-5 to the NRFI with a perfect 13-0 road and NRFI split.
Quantrill's most important matchups today will be against home run hitter Aaron Judge, who is 0-for-5 against him, and Josh Donaldson, who is 7-for-17.
The Yankees will counter with their superstar in Gerrit Cole. Cole was a little shaky with the NRFI to start the year, but bounced back to finish 26-6 to the NRFI with a 12-4 home and NRFI split.
Cole’s most notable matchups today will be against Amed Rosario, who is 0-for-8, and Jose Ramirez, who is 6-for-22.
Yankee Stadium and that right-field wall has killed so many NRFIs this season. The Price tag of (-130) over on FanDuel makes this playable with slight juice. we will ride Quantrill's perfect road split one more time today.
Pick: NRFI -130 (FanDuel)
| Matchup | M. Clevinger (Padres) vs. J. Urias (Dodgers) |
| First Pitch | 9:37 p.m. ET |
The Padres upset the Mets, winning this series 2-1, and now will send out their third rotation man Mike Clevinger to start Game 1 against the division rival Dodgers.
Clevinger is 17-5 to the NRFI with a 10-3 road NRFI split. His most important matchups today are against Trea Turner, who is 4-for-10, and Mookie Betts, who is 7-for-15.
The Dodgers send out Julio Urias, who is 21-7 to the NRFI with a measly 8-4 home NRFI split. Urias's most noteworthy matchups today are against Wil Myers, who is 3-for-25, Manny Machado at 10-for-27 and Juan Soto at 1-for-18.
I have these two NRFI pitchers as my lowest-graded options. we will come back to this series with better NRFI options in a few days, for today I would lean toward the YRFI.
Lean: YRFI -102 (FanDuel)
As always, six outs to glory…
For all of Shayne Trail's favorite NRFI/YRFI bets, follow him in the Action Network app.
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