Independence Day is here!
The 4th of July is always an exciting time filled with grilling, celebrating with family and friends … and baseball! All 30 teams are in action today and the games get started as early as 11:05 a.m. ET. There is plenty of day baseball to dive into and fun, family activities to get to, so let's not waste any more time.
Today's MLB best bets are below.
MLB Best Bets Today
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 1:05 p.m. | |
  | 6:40 p.m. | |
  | 7:10 p.m. | |
  | 7:15 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Derek Carty's Reds vs Phillies Pick: Abbott Showing Value
By Derek Carty
THE BAT X is forecasting 15.45 pitching outs for Andrew Abbott compared to 17.76 pitching outs implied by the oddsmakers, so I believe there is value here. If you take the under, you’d be projected to win 65% of the time, resulting in a 50% ROI. Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $50.05.
Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics!
Pick: Andrew Abbott Under 17.5 Outs (+130)
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