The Chicago White Sox host the New York Mets on August 23, 2026. First pitch from Rate Field is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNY.
The Mets are favored by -108 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The White Sox are +100 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Mets vs White Sox prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mets vs White Sox Prediction
- Mets vs White Sox Pick: Under 8.5 (-124, FanDuel)
My Mets vs White Sox best bet is under 8.5 total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mets vs White Sox Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +146 | 8.5 102o / -124u | -108 |
| White Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -178 | 8.5 102o / -124u | +100 |
- Mets vs White Sox moneyline: Mets -108, White Sox +100
- Mets vs White Sox over/under: 8.5 (102o / -124u)
- Mets vs White Sox spread: Mets -1.5 (+146), White Sox +1.5 (-178)
Mets vs White Sox Probable Pitchers
| Nolan McLean | Stat | Sean Newcomb |
|---|---|---|
| 9-8 | W-L | 1-3 |
| 2.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.5 |
| 3.34 / 3.70 | ERA / xERA | 2.44 / 3.87 |
| 3.61 / 3.53 | FIP / xFIP | 3.04 / 3.90 |
| 18.2 | K-BB% | 13.1 |
| 45.3 | GB% | 47.5 |
| .275 | BABIP | .261 |
| 107 | Stuff+ | 105 |
| 96 | Location+ | 97 |
Mets vs White Sox MLB Betting Preview
The "Sunday Unders on Over Streak" system targets Sunday MLB games where the home team is coming off 1–2 consecutive overs, suggesting recent offensive outperformance or inflated totals. The theory is that on Sundays—often the final game of a series and an early start—teams may rest key hitters, lineups can be inconsistent, and pitchers often perform better against lineups they’ve already seen.
With an opening total in the 8-to-9.5-run range, the line is high enough to offer under value when offensive regression is likely. Betting the under in these specific setups has historically yielded a positive ROI over time.
Taking unders with moderate totals (8 to 9.5) in Sunday games with home teams on an over streak. Sunday games usually wrap up the series and are played during the day, usually after a night game. Hitters may tend to be worn out by the end of the week, and collectively as a league, players tend to take their rest days on Sundays, so there's an added advantage toward unders.
Mets vs White Sox Pick, Betting Analysis
The White Sox hit the Over in Friday's 6-4 victory and followed it up with another total cash in Saturday's 10-5 loss to New York, putting the home side on a two-game Over streak.
After playing late Saturday evening, both clubs turn around for a day game to conclude a demanding week. High temperatures and late-week travel schedules often force managers to cycle through bench options and rest key everyday bats in series rubber matches.
Pitching conditions also favor regression from the recent scoring output. The Mets send Nolan McLean (9-8, 3.34 ERA) to the mound, while Chicago counters with Sean Newcomb (1-3, 2.44 ERA). Pitchers who hold a second look at series lineups tend to hold a structural advantage, especially against tired swings.
With the line floating at 8.5 runs, the system capitalizes on overadjusted totals driven by recent offensive variance. Expect a lower-scoring environment in Chicago as offense regresses back toward baseline metrics.
Pick: Under 8.5 (-124, FanDuel)
