The Miami Marlins host the New York Mets on September 7, 2026. First pitch from loanDepot Park is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on MIAM.
The Marlins are favored by -118 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Mets are -102 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Mets vs Marlins prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mets vs Marlins Prediction
- Mets vs Marlins Pick: Over 8 (-105)
My Mets vs Marlins best bet is Over 8 total runs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mets vs Marlins Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -200 | 8 -105o / -115u | -102 |
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +165 | 8 -105o / -115u | -118 |
- Mets vs Marlins moneyline: Mets -102, Marlins -118
- Mets vs Marlins over/under: 8 (-105o / -115u)
- Mets vs Marlins spread: Mets +1.5 (-200), Marlins -1.5 (+165)
Mets vs Marlins Probable Pitchers
| Jonah Tong (RHP, NYM) | Stat | Eury Perez (RHP, MIA) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | W-L | 7-10 |
| -0.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.0 |
| 3.60 / 4.02 | ERA / xERA | 3.72 / 4.05 |
| 5.10 / 5.91 | FIP / xFIP | 4.07 / 4.15 |
| 0.0 | K-BB% | 15.5 |
| 41.9 | GB% | 37.5 |
| .219 | BABIP | .257 |
| 97 | Stuff+ | 114 |
| 91 | Location+ | 92 |
Mets vs Marlins MLB Betting Preview
Sean Zerillo's projections show solid value on the total for this Mets vs. Marlins matchup, with a 4.0% edge on the over.
If you want to dive deeper into this matchup, it'd be wise to check out BARTOLO, Zerillo's new PRO baseball tool that gives you access to all the input data he uses to project games every day.
Mets vs Marlins Pick, Betting Analysis
BARTOLO projects the Mets for 4.24 runs and the Marlins for 4.32 this afternoon, which would bring the total over the line.
New York has been much more productive lately, scoring 29 runs across their last four games.
Bo Bichette has been the star of this Mets lineup for the past seven days, averaging .304 with a 1.012 OPS.
He was the hero yesterday with a go-ahead three-run homer in the bottom of the eighth inning against the Giants.
Even though Marlins starter Eury Perez is solid and Jonah Tong is a promising pitcher for the Mets, both bullpens are inefficient, as you can see in BARTOLO's projection, with Zerillo ranking New York relievers 21st and Miami 23rd.
Plus, the Miami lineup has also been busy around the bases recently, scoring 15 runs in their last two contests against the Cubs.
Pick: Over 8 (-105, BetMGM)
