The Milwaukee Brewers host the New York Mets on August 9, 2025. First pitch from American Family Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FDSWI.
Find my MLB betting preview and Mets vs Brewers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Mets vs Brewers Prediction
- Mets vs Brewers pick: Under 9 (-115)
My Mets vs Brewers best bet is Under 9 total runs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mets vs Brewers Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +155 | 9 -105o / -115u | -102 |
| Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -190 | 9 -105o / -115u | -118 |
Mets vs Brewers Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Frankie Montas (NYM) | Stat | RHP Tobias Myers (MIL) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | W-L | 1-1 |
| 0.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.2 |
| 6.68 / 5.04 | ERA / xERA | 4.30 / 4.35 |
| 5.07 / 4.33 | FIP / xFIP | 4.02 / 4.85 |
| 1.54 | WHIP | 1.61 |
| 12.5 | K-BB% | 8.4 |
| 42.3 | GB% | 37.3 |
| 105 | Stuff+ | 91 |
| 99 | Location+ | 98 |
Mets vs Brewers Preview
The quality of both bullpens will play a key part in this series, as evidenced yesterday in Milwaukee's 3-2 victory, when the relief corps held opposing offenses and did not allow a single run.
The Brewers relievers have a 3.95 ERA this season, and will back starter Tobias Myers, who has done well this season, alternating between the rotation and the bullpen.
Myers gave up more than two runs in just one of his three starts in 2025 so far, and will face a Mets offense that has dipped a bit in August, sitting at the 23rd spot in wRC+ with a 79 rating this month.
The Mets have not announced their starter yet, but Frankie Montas is the likely candidate, followed by New York's strong bullpen, which ranks 10th in the majors with a 3.74 ERA.
This aligns with our Bet Labs recommendation to go with the under.
This system targets unders in MLB series games (Game 2 or later) where both teams have winning records, suggesting quality pitching and competitive matchups.
However, public betting leans toward the over —likely expecting fireworks between top teams— which creates contrarian value on the under.
By capitalizing on low public support for the under (≤35%), the strategy fades public perception in favor of market inefficiencies, especially when bettors overestimate offensive output late in a series.
Pick: Under 9 (-115, BetMGM)
