The Washington Nationals host the Philadelphia Phillies on June 24, 2026. First pitch from Nationals Park is scheduled for 6:45 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on NBCS-PH.
The Phillies are favored by -134 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Nationals are +114 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Phillies vs Nationals prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Phillies vs Nationals Prediction
- Phillies vs Nationals Pick: Phillies ML (-150 or Better)
My Phillies vs Nationals best bet is on Philly. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Phillies vs Nationals Odds
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +120 | 9.5 -110o / -110u | -134 |
| Nationals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -144 | 9.5 -110o / -110u | +114 |
- Phillies vs Nationals moneyline: Phillies -134, Nationals +114
- Phillies vs Nationals over/under: 9.5 (-110 / -110)
- Phillies vs Nationals spread: Phillies -1.5 (+120), Nationals +1.5 (-144)
Phillies vs Nationals Probable Pitchers
| Aaron Nola (RHP, PHI) | Stat | Miles Mikolas (RHP, WSN) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-4 | W-L | 2-6 |
| 0.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.6 |
| 5.71 / 4.25 | ERA / xERA | 5.47 / 4.76 |
| 4.64 / 3.82 | FIP / xFIP | 5.44 / 4.57 |
| 15.6% | K-BB% | 8.4% |
| 41.9% | GB% | 45.0% |
| .333 | BABIP | .264 |
| 106 | Stuff+ | 90 |
| 102 | Location+ | 111 |
Phillies vs Nationals MLB Betting Preview
The Phillies will send Aaron Nola to the hill against the Nationals' Miles Mikolas after a thrilling road win for Philly on Tuesday.
Nola is due for some positive regression. He's been one of the more unlucky pitchers in MLB over the past two years. This year, his ERA is 5.71 with a 4.24 xERA and 4.63 FIP.
Even the underlying numbers aren't ace-like, but it's a lot better than his ERA, which is closing on six.
He should have a soft landing against a Nationals lineup that ranks 19th among MLB lineups with a 105 wRC+ in June. The trio of James Wood, CJ Abrams, and Luis Garcia is doing its part, but bats like Curtis Mead, Daylen Lile, and Jacob Young have come back down to earth after a hot start.
Phillies vs Nationals Pick, Betting Analysis
If Nola can contain the top three in Washington's order, he should have a successful outing.
I also think the Phillies should do well against Mikolas, who's been very feast-or-famine. In his past four outings, he had two scoreless ones and two where he gave up five-plus runs.
That seems par for the course for a pitcher who owns a 5.47 ERA with a 4.75 xERA and 5.44 FIP. He strikes out just 5.23 per nine and gives up a brutal 1.95 HR/9, which could be his demise against a Phillies lineup that can hit for power.
Pick: Phillies ML (-150 or Better)
