The Cincinnati Reds host the Pittsburgh Pirates on July 30, 2026. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on CINR.
The Pirates are favored by -115 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Reds are -105 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Pirates vs Reds prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Pirates vs Reds Prediction
- Pirates vs Reds Pick: Yohan Ramirez o1.5 Strikeouts (-120, bet365)
My Pirates vs Reds best bet is Yohan Ramirez to go over his strikeouts total. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Pirates vs Reds Odds
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -163 | 9.5 -110o / -110u | -115 |
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +135 | 9.5 -110o / -110u | -105 |
- Pirates vs Reds moneyline: Pirates -115, Reds -105
- Pirates vs Reds over/under: 9.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Pirates vs Reds spread: Pirates -1.5 (+135), Reds +1.5 (-163)
Pirates vs Reds Probable Pitchers
| RHP Yohan Ramírez (PIT) | Stat | RHP Rhett Lowder (CIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | W-L | 3-7 |
| 0.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.9 |
| 3.21/3.79 | ERA / xERA | 5.61/5.55 |
| 4.13/4.29 | FIP / xFIP | 4.54/4.84 |
| 11.7% | K-BB% | 7.9% |
| 48.9% | GB% | 43.0% |
| .288 | BABIP | .315 |
| 110 | Stuff+ | 85 |
| 94 | Location+ | 101 |
Pirates vs Reds Pick, Betting Analysis
Interesting sweat here with Ramirez making his first start as an opener against a strikeout-happy Cincinnati Reds team.
While we know Ramirez won't last long in this game, RotoGrinders has him projected to pitch nearly 3 innings, and if that's the case, I really like his chances to deliver some strikeouts.
The Reds have the highest strikeout rate in all of baseball against RHP this season (25.1%). 5 of their first 7 hitters in tonight's projected starting lineup have a K rate of at least 25% against RHP, so if Ramirez can come close to that innings projection, he'll get to see some of these high-strikeout bats. Ramirez has a solid 25% strikeout rate this season and has been equally good against both righties and lefties.
Not a bet for the faint of heart, but it is one I feel good about and will be attacking tonight.
Pick: Yohan Ramirez o1.5 Strikeouts (-120, bet365)
